Saturday, April 12, 2014

Brown Starts Off Behind Shaheen In New Hampshire



It's official. Scott Brown couldn't get elected in Massachusetts, so he's going to be a carpetbagger and run for the Senate in New Hampshire. And the New Hampshire Republicans will probably nominate him, since they were looking for a high-profile candidate to run against Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen. But Brown has his work cut out for him. He trails Shaheen in both voter preference and approval rating.

Shaheen has an approval rating of 47% to 46% (about even). That could be better, but it looks great when compared to Brown's approval rating of 35% to 49% (a negative gap of 14 points). Two separate polls show Shaheen with a nice lead over Brown in voter preference at this time. They are the Public Policy Polling survey (which questioned 1,034 New Hampshire voters on April 7th and 8th) and the WMUR Granite State Poll (which questioned 507 New Hampshire adults between April 1st and 9th).

The PPP survey shows Shaheen with an 8 point lead, while the WMUR Poll showed she had a 6 point lead. The WMUR Poll has a margin of error of 4.4 points, and the PPP survey's margin is slightly less than 4 points.

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