Friday, July 01, 2016

Would A Sanders Endorsement Really Help Clinton Much ?

The political pundits (and many Democrats) are worried that Bernie Sanders failure to fully endorse Hillary Clinton for the presidency is hurting her candidacy. I'm not so sure that is true. Of course, there will be a few die-hards (like the PUMA's for Clinton in 2008), but there numbers are few and they won't affect the election. Most progressives recognize the stark difference between a Clinton presidency and a Trump presidency -- and will do what they can to see that Trump is not elected.

And a new Rasmussen Poll (done on June 26th and 27th of a random national sample of 1,000 likely voters, with a 3 point margin of error) suggests that may be true. Among Democrats, about 24% said Sanders' pledge to vote for Clinton made them more likely to vote for her, while about 12% said it would make them less likely. But a whopping 63% said it would have no impact on their vote.

And the effect among all voters would be even less. About 14% said it would make them more likely to vote Clinton, while an equal 14% said it would make them less likely. About 71% said it would have no impact on how they voted.

Clinton already has Elizabeth Warren and other progressives on her team. An endorsement from Sanders would be nice, but it is no longer critical.

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