Tuesday, February 21, 2017

Texas Bucks The National Trend (But Only By A Slim Margin)

The charts above are from The Texas Tribune. They reflect the results of the latest University of Texas / Texas Tribune Poll -- done between February 3rd and 10th of a random sample of 1,200 registered voters in Texas, and has a margin of error of 2.83 points.

Texas is one of the reddest of the 50 states, and voted for Donald Trump in the 2016 election by a 9 point margin (52% to 43%). That's why I was pleasantly surprised at the results of this poll.

Texas does buck the trend of most national polls, which show most people disapproving of the job Trump is doing as president. But not by much. While 46% of Texans approve of the job Trump is doing, about 44% disapprove -- a tiny 2 point margin.

And when Texas are asked their opinion of Trump, those who disapprove actually have a slight advantage (45% approve to 46% disapprove). But that is a tiny 1 point margin, and like the job approval percentages, is within the polls margin of error.

The poll shows Texans are split on Trump. Are they having some buyer's remorse?

Pluralities also believe Trump doesn't have the temperament to be president (48%) and is dishonest (50%).

These numbers should worry Trump and his supporters. If he doesn't have big support in bright red Texas, then he is in trouble.

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