Sunday, June 25, 2006

Can Radnofsky Win Senate Seat ?

The Democrats have an excellent candidate in Barbara Ann Radnofsky. She is a remarkable attorney, with many awards, and a tireless community volunteer. Now she is offering her many talents to the citizens of Texas by running for the US Senate. There is no doubt in my mind that she is by far the most qualified candidate in the race. But can she win?

It will not be easy. Kay Bailey Hutchison has been very popular in the past, and won her last election easily. The last poll I saw showed Hutchison at 52% and Radnofsky at 37%. These numbers are not as bad as they look at first glance. For one thing, Hutchison's numbers have shown a decline from around 60%. So, at least for now, the numbers are moving in the right direction. Also, the numbers show that Radnofsky is starting to appeal to more than just the Democratic base. But there is still a long way to go and only about four months to get it done.

I believe the following things must happen for Radnofsky to win:

1. We must make Barbara Ann Radnofsky's name a household word in the state of Texas. She is a great candidate, and the more people know her, the more they will like her. Make sure your local media are covering her events. If they are not, show your displeasure with calls and letters. Even a great candidate cannot win if the people don't know the candidate.

2. We must expose Kay Bailey Hutchison for the right-wing puppet that she is. Around election time, she has a habit of posing as a moderate. After the election, she votes with the radical right. We must make sure that Texans know that her pose as a moderate is fraudulent and dishonest. Don't listen to her lies, just look at her voting record.

3. We must have a large turnout. Traditionally, large turnouts favor Democrats. It is even more so this year because of the general unpopularity of republicans in Congress. Here is a sampling of recent polls:

Zogby [6/15-20]...............R-29%.........D-38%........O-32%

CNN [6/14-15]..................R-38%.........D-45%........O-16%

NBC/WSJ [6/9-12]..........R-38%.........D-49%........O-13%

Fox [6/13-14]....................R-33%.........D-46%........O-20%

Gallup [6/9-11].................R-39%.........D-51%.........O-10%

The larger the turnout is, the more true these polls will be. It will not be easy for Barbara Ann Radnofsky to win the senate seat, but with the general mood of the country, with a large turnout, and with a lot of hard campaigning it can be done. I believe it will be done.

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