Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Arctic Sea Ice Melting Faster Than Predicted


For years now, critics of climactic global change due to greenhouse gases have been saying that computer models used to predict that change were significantly overstating the expected changes. It turns out that they were very wrong.

A report released today by researchers at the National Center for Atmospheric Research and the University of Colorado in Boulder, says actual measurements show that the computer programs did not overstate the effects of greenhouse gases on arctic ice. Instead, these computer models had significantly UNDERSTATED the effect.

The computer models had predicted an average rate of melting of 2.5% per decade between 1953 and 2006. The actual rate of the melting turns out to be 7.8% per decade. That is three times the predicted rate!

These stark figures tell us we may not have as much time to act as we previously thought. Disaster is not creeping up on us - it is charging us on a dead run.

The computer models had assumed that about half of the global climactic change was due to greenhouse gases, and the other half was due to normal warming trends. Now it looks like the greenhouse gases may be causing a much larger portion of the changes than formerly believed.

These new figures make it critical that Republicans be removed from power in the 2008 elections. We are running out of time faster than expected. We can no longer afford the delaying tactics of the Republican party.

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