Friday, March 16, 2012

Hispanics Prefer Obama By Large Margin

It's starting to look like the Republican Party is heading for a disaster in the November elections. With their repeated attacks on our nation's first African-American president, and the racist remarks made by several of the Republican presidential candidates, they long ago made the decision they didn't need African-American votes to win (and they probably won't get many). That left women and Hispanics as the groups they might try to appeal to, because getting only a majority of votes from white men (even a large majority), just won't win an election in America these days.

Unbelievably, they recently launched a war on women over an issue that was sure to lose them a lot of votes -- contraception (used at one time or another by over 95% of all American women). Recent polls have shown this has cost them a lot of support as many women move to support the Democrats. Now they are going on record as being opposed to renewing the Domestic Violence Against Women Act, which is sure to convince even more women that the Republicans simply don't care about them (or their votes).

That leaves only the Hispanic Americans. John McCain got 31% of the Hispanic vote in 2008. Can Republicans do better than that this year? The short answer is no. A recently released Fox News Latino Poll shows that in a head-to-head match-up between President Obama and any of the Republican candidates, the Republican candidate can only expect 14% support from Hispanics.

It seems that while President Obama has held his support from 2008 among Hispanics, the Republicans have not. Among Hispanics who supported McCain in 2008, against Romney they would support the president by 40% to 38%, against Santorum they would support the president by 38% to 34%, and against Gingrich they would support the president by 40% to 38%. The Republicans not only can't improve on McCain's 31%, they would lose most of the Hispanic McCain voters.

Why is this? It's obviously because the Republicans have taken very public stands against several issues favored by Hispanics who are American citizens. These citizens support the Dream Act (90%), want a path to citizenship for undocumented workers (85%), and believe undocumented immigrants help to grow the U.S. economy (82%) -- all of which the Republicans have vociferously opposed.

In an effort to appease their racist, misogynistic, and homophobic base, the Republicans have alienated about every group except white men (and a lot of us are alienated also). Where do they think they'll get the votes to win in November?

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