Saturday, August 05, 2017

A New Poll Looks At The 99 Most Competitive Districts

These charts were made with information from a new Greenberg/Quinlan/Rosner Poll. The poll was done between July 27th and August 1st of 1,000 voters in the 99 most competitive House Districts, with a margin of error of 3.1 points.

79 of these 99 districts are current represented by a Republican House member, so one might think these 99 districts would lean toward supporting Trump. But that is not the case. They would oppose Trump firing Special Counsel Mueller by a 31 point margin, would oppose Trump trying to pardon himself by a 76 point margin, and would oppose Trump pardoning aides or family members by a 42 point margin.

Those are some pretty big numbers, and they show the voters in these purple (competitive) districts may be open to a change. Of particular interest to Democrats may be the bottom chart. It shows that the Democrats in this districts are much more enthusiastic about voting in the 2018 election (61% to 48%).

1 comment:

  1. Wow great post Ted. Fascinating. Thanks!


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