Friday, August 03, 2018

If 2020 Election Was Now, Trump Would Lose (Bigly)

You wouldn't know it from the pictures of Trump that we get from the media, but Trump is an extremely unpopular president. That's because he is careful not to appear in public unless it's before a crowd of his supporters. He's too narcissistic and thin-skinned to appear anywhere he's not guaranteed to be adored.

But his careful public relations efforts can't hide the deep lack of respect that most Americans have for him. In fact, if he had to run for re-election right now, he would lose by about 13 points (35% to 48%). The results are in the chart above (along with a demographic breakdown).

The chart represents results of a recent Politico / Morning Consult Poll -- done between July 26th and 30th of a nationwide sample of 1,993 registered voters, with a 2 point margin of error.

The two charts below are from the same poll, and give us a clue as to why Trump is so unpopular with most Americans. The public believes morality, honesty, and faithfulness to one's partner are very important for a politician to do a good job. They give Trump failing marks in all three categories.

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