Thursday, August 30, 2018

Looking At How The Texas House Districts Currently Stand

Texas is still a red state (or at least a pink one). It's still tough for Democrats to win in Texas (especially in statewide races).

Beto O'Rourke is making a valiant effort to change that, and is eating away at incumbent Ted Cruz's lead in the race for the United States Senate.

It's a tougher road for Democrats when it comes to the races for the Texas delegation to the House of Representatives. Texas has 36 House seats -- and currently 11 are filled by Democrats and 25 by Republicans. The delegation to the 116th Congress will also have a majority of Republicans, but Democrats are hoping to take from 2 to 4 seats from the Republicans.

The University of Virginia Center for Politics and Ipsos Polling have joined together to keep Americans up-to-date on the status of races around the country. You can access their Political Atlas by going here.

Here is their best guess as to where the House races in Texas stand:

23 seats are rated as lean, likely, or safe Republican. They are -- 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 17, 19, 21, 22, 24, 25, 26, 27, 31, 32, 36.

2 seats are rated as Toss-ups. They are -- 7 and 23.

11 seats are rated as lean, likely, or safe Democratic. They are -- 9, 15, 16, 18, 20, 28, 29, 30, 33, 34, 35.

I personally think they are being pretty conservative in their estimates. I think Democrats, if they turn out in large numbers, can take more than 2 seats away from the Republicans.

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