Friday, August 31, 2018

New Poll Shows 18-34 Year-Olds Prefer Democrats

The charts above show the results of a recent NBC News / GenForward Poll -- done between July 26th and August 13th of a national sample of 1,910 18 to 34 year-olds, with a margin of error of 3.8 points.

If this poll is true (and I believe it likely is true), then it shows some good news for Democrats in the coming midterm election.  These young people represent the largest group in the country now (outnumbering even Baby Boomers), and Democrats would be richly rewarded if they show up at the polls in large numbers.

About 55% of them say they plan to vote in the coming election. That's about 5% more than voted in 2016. Only 19% say they won't vote, and the rest are currently unsure.

By a 5 point margin, these young people say the Democratic Party cares about them. That may not sound like much, but it's far better than the Republicans. By a 40 point margin, they say the Republican Party does NOT care about them. And by a 22 point margin, they want Democrats to control the 116th Congress instead of Republicans.

They also have a poorer view of how Trump is handling his job than the public at large. Only 27% say he's doing a good job, while 58% say he is not -- a negative gap of 31 points.

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