Friday, November 16, 2018

Trump Has A Lot Of Ground To Make Up Before 2020

This chart reflects the results of the newest Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between November 11th and 13th of a national sample of 1,500 adults (including 1,284 registered voters, with a 3 point margin of error for adults (and 2.9 points for registered voters).

This chart reflects the results of a new Monmouth University Poll -- done between November 9th and 12th of a national sample of 802 adults, with a 3.5 point margin of error.

Donald Trump did his best to make the 2018 election about him, believing that would save the Republicans running for office. It didn't work. Voters supported Democrats by an overwhelming margin.

These charts show us why. Americans are not happy with the Trump administration. By a 20 point margin, they don't want him to run for re-election (16 points among registered voters). And by a 23 point margin (21 points among registered voters) they don't want him to be re-elected on 2020.

Making the election about himself was a huge mistake in 2018, and unless Trump is able to win over a lot of voters in the next couple of years (unlikely), 2020 will be another disaster for Republicans (and for Trump himself).

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