Is Texas Really Turning Blue ?

Is Texas turning blue? Will the Republicans lose their biggest reliably red state? If they did, it would spell disaster for them.

The chart above is by Texas A&M-Corpus Christi professor of political science Juan Carlos Huerta. His research shows that both older and younger minorities are solidly in the Democratic camp. That is no surprise, and the percentage of the population in Texas that is composed of minorities is growing. Soon they will be the majority (and in Texas schools, they already are the majority).

It is the chart on the right that shows Texas could turn blue sooner than expected -- maybe even before minorities make up a majority of the population. Older Whites in Texas still mainly support Republicans (with only 31% that are Democrats). But younger Whites are leaving the GOP behind, and are moving toward the Democrats. In 2009, about 36% were Democrats. By 2017, that had grown to 45% -- a jump of 8 points in only 8 years.

This is why Texas Republicans are trying to suppress the votes of minorities and young people. They know they are in trouble, and soon Texas will be a blue state.

The only question that remains is how soon will the change occur.