Showing posts with label Sen. Bernie Sanders. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sen. Bernie Sanders. Show all posts

Thursday, November 23, 2023

Bernie Sanders" Solution For Peace In The Middle East


Senator Bernie Sanders has written an excellent op-ed for The New York Times. Here is just a small part of it, where he offers what is necessary for a solution: 

Mr. Netanyahu has made clear where he stands on these critical issues. So should we. If asking nicely worked, we wouldn’t be in this position. The only way these necessary changes will happen is if the United States uses the substantial leverage we have with Israel. And we all know what that leverage is.

For many years, the United States has provided Israel substantial sums of money — with close to no strings attached. Currently, we provide $3.8 billion a year. President Biden has asked for $14.3 billion more on top of that sum and asked Congress to waive normal, already-limited oversight rules. The blank check approach must end. The United States must make clear that while we are friends of Israel, there are conditions to that friendship and that we cannot be complicit in actions that violate international law and our own sense of decency. That includes an end to indiscriminate bombing; a significant pause to the bombing so that massive humanitarian assistance can come into the region; the right of displaced Gazans to return to their homes; no long-term Israeli occupation of Gaza; an end to settler violence in the West Bank and a freeze on settlement expansion; a commitment to broad peace talks for a two-state solution in the wake of the war.

Over the years, people of good will around the world, including Israelis, have tried to address this conflict in a way that brings justice for Palestinians and security for Israel. I, and some other members of Congress, have tried to do what we could. Obviously, we did not do enough. Now we must recommit to this effort. The stakes are just too high to give up.

Sunday, October 17, 2021

Sanders Makes The Case For The Build Back Better Bill


The following is an op-ed from Senator Bernie Sanders in the Charleston Gazette-Mail:

In America today, the very rich are becoming richer while millions of working families are struggling to put food on the table or pay their bills. We now have the absurd situation in which two multi-billionaires own more wealth than the bottom 40% of Americans; the top 1% owns more wealth than the bottom 92%; and the gap between rich and poor is wider than at any time in the last 100 years.

The $3.5 trillion Build Back Better bill, supported by President Biden and almost all Democrats in Congress, is an unprecedented effort to finally address the long-neglected crises facing working families and demand that the wealthiest people and largest corporations in the country start paying their fair share of taxes. In fact, this legislation would be paid for by ending loopholes and raising taxes on the 1% and large profitable corporations.

This bill would take on the greed of the pharmaceutical industry and lower the cost of prescription drugs in America by having Medicare negotiate prices with drug companies, something the VA already does. It is unacceptable that we continue to pay, by far, the highest prices in the world for prescription drugs — sometimes 10 times more than the people in other countries.

Last year alone, while nearly one out of four Americans could not afford to fill the prescriptions their doctors wrote, six of the largest pharmaceutical companies made nearly $50 billion in profits and the 10 highest-paid executives in the industry made over $500 million in compensation. In order to preserve this corrupt and greedy pricing system, the drug companies are spending hundreds of millions of dollars to fight our legislation and have hired nearly 1,500 lobbyists, including former leaders of the Republican and Democratic parties, to represent their interests. Enough is enough. We must lower prescription drug prices.

This bill would expand Medicare to cover dental care, hearing aids and eye glasses. Today, in the wealthiest nation on earth, many millions of seniors are unable to afford to go to a dentist, or buy the hearing aids and eye glasses they need. In the richest country on earth older Americans should not have teeth rotting in their mouths. That is unacceptable.

The United States, and states like West Virginia and Vermont in particular, are seeing their populations age. The result: more and more older Americans and people with disabilities need home health care. They would much prefer to be around their loved ones at home rather than be forced into expensive nursing homes. This bill greatly expands home health care and makes sure that these jobs are adequately paid.

The Build Back Better plan is not only vitally important for seniors, but it is enormously important for working families and their children. As a result of the $300 direct payments to working class parents which began in the American Rescue Plan, we have cut childhood poverty in our country by half. It would be unconscionable to see those payments end, which is exactly what will happen if we do not pass this bill.

This legislation also ends the dysfunction of our childcare system which forces millions of working families to spend 20% to 30% of their limited incomes on childcare and keeps over a million women out of the workforce. Under Build Back Better no family would pay more than 7% of their income for child care, and pre-K education for 3- and 4-year-olds would be universal and free. This is a huge step forward for working parents and their kids.

This legislation would make community college tuition free and enable our young people to acquire the skills they need to get good paying jobs and meaningful careers.

This legislation will end the embarrassment of the United States being the only major country on earth not to guarantee paid family and medical leave.

This legislation will make a massive investment in low-income and affordable housing so that we no longer have 600,000 homeless Americans and millions more who spend half their incomes or more on housing.

And then there is the existential threat of climate change. With the planet becoming warmer and warmer, with unprecedented forest fires, drought, floods and extreme weather disturbances, and when scientists tell us that we only have a few years to avoid irreparable damage to our country and planet, this legislation begins the process of cutting carbon emissions and transforming our energy systems away from fossil fuel and into energy efficiency and sustainable energy.

And when we do all of these things, and more, we create millions of good paying jobs and offer a brighter future for our young people.

This reconciliation bill is being opposed by every Republican in Congress as well as the drug companies, the insurance companies, the fossil fuel industry and the billionaire class. They want to maintain the status quo in which the very rich get richer while ordinary Americans continue to struggle to make ends meet.

I believe that now is the time, finally, for Congress to stand up for working families and have the courage to take on the big money interests and wealthy campaign contributors who have so much power over the economic and political life of our country.

Poll after poll shows overwhelming support for this legislation. Yet, the political problem we face is that in a 50-50 Senate we need every Democratic senator to vote “yes.” We now have only 48. Two Democratic senators remain in opposition, including Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.Va.

This is a pivotal moment in modern American history. We now have a historic opportunity to support the working families of West Virginia, Vermont and the entire country and create policy which works for all, not just the few.

Tuesday, April 14, 2020

Sanders Endorses Biden - Urges Voters To Elect Him


Senator Bernie Sanders didn't repeat his mistake of 2016. On Monday, he appeared on a Biden virtual campaign event and gave him his endorsement for president. He said:

“Today I am asking all Americans. I’m asking every Democrat, I’m asking every independent, I’m asking a lot of Republicans to come together in this campaign to support your candidacy, which I endorse, to make certain that we defeat somebody who I believe, and I'm speaking just for myself, now is the most dangerous president in the modern history of this country."

“We’ve got to make Trump a one-term president, and we need you in the White House." 

“I will do all that I can to see that that happens. It's imperative that all of us work together to do what has to be done. Not only in this moment, but beyond this moment in the future of this country."

--------------------------------------

It probably doesn't matter much anymore, since the Democrats seem to have their presidential nominee (Joe Biden), but the state of Wisconsin released the vote totals on Monday from last weeks primary. Here's how it came out (with 95% of the votes counted).

Joe Biden..............63.4%
Bernie Sanders...............31.3%

At the same time as the primary, there was also an election for a slot on the Wisconsin Supreme Court. It was expected that the far-right candidate, Daniel Kelly (backed by Donald Trump), would win a slim victory over liberal Jill Karofsky. But Wisconsin voters had a different idea. They elected Karofsky (54% to 46%).

Monday, April 13, 2020

Biden Adds To His Delegate Total With Alaska Win


Joe Biden edged closer to officially winning the Democratic Party presidential nomination on Saturday. He won the primary in the state of Alaska.

Joe Biden...............55.3%
Bernie Sanders...............44.7%

19,759 total votes were cast in the state. Biden got 11 delegates to 4 for Sanders.

Sunday, April 12, 2020

Sanders Voters Don't Like Biden - But Dislike Trump More


The chart above is from the Morning Consult Poll -- done between March 18th and April 7th of a national sample of 15,000 Democratic voters who supported Bernie Sanders. The poll has a 1 point margin of error.

Thursday, April 09, 2020

Biden Praises Sanders And Vows To Work With Him

This is the statement released by Joe Biden upon hearing about Bernie Sanders suspending his presidential campaign.

Today, Senator Sanders announced he was suspending his campaign. Bernie has put his heart and soul into not only running for President, but for the causes and issues he has been dedicated to his whole life. So, I know how hard a decision this was for him to make — and how hard it is for the millions of his supporters — especially younger voters — who have been inspired and energized and brought into politics by the progressive agenda he has championed. Bernie has done something rare in politics. He hasn’t just run a political campaign; he’s created a movement. And make no mistake about it, I believe it’s a movement that is as powerful today as it was yesterday. That’s a good thing for our nation and our future.

Senator Sanders and his supporters have changed the dialogue in America. Issues which had been given little attention — or little hope of ever passing — are now at the center of the political debate. Income inequality, universal health care, climate change, free college, relieving students from the crushing debt of student loans. These are just a few of the issues Bernie and his supporters have given life to. And while Bernie and I may not agree on how we might get there, we agree on the ultimate goal for these issues and many more.

But more than any one issue or set of issues, I want to commend Bernie for being a powerful voice for a fairer and more just America. It’s voices like Bernie’s that refuse to allow us to just accept what is — that refuse to accept we can’t change what’s wrong in our nation — that refuse to accept the health and well-being of our fellow citizens and our planet isn’t our responsibility too. Bernie gets a lot of credit for his passionate advocacy for the issues he cares about. But he doesn’t get enough credit for being a voice that forces us all to take a hard look in the mirror and ask if we’ve done enough.

While the Sanders campaign has been suspended — its impact on this election and on elections to come is far from over. We will address the existential crisis of climate change. We will confront income inequality in our nation. We will make sure healthcare is affordable and accessible to every American. We will make education at our public colleges and universities free. We will ease the burden of student debt. And, most important of all, we will defeat Donald Trump.

At this moment, we are in the middle of an unprecedented crisis in American history. There is enormous fear and pain and loss being felt all across the country. There are also untold stories of heroism — of nurses and health care workers and doctors and first responders and grocery store workers and truck drivers and so many others on the front lines of this crisis. Putting their own lives in danger for the rest of us. If we didn’t know it before, we know it now: This is the backbone of our nation.

Our first job is to get through the immediate crisis threatening the public health and getting help into the pockets of America’s workers. But we also need to take a hard look at what we need to fix and change in this country. Many of the biggest cracks in the social safety net have been laid bare — from health care to paid sick leave to a more extensive and comprehensive system of unemployment benefits. We will need to address these. Just as we need to address rebuilding our nation’s infrastructure. And we all know — the clock is ticking — we don’t have a moment to waste in combating the climate crisis.

As friends, Jill and I want to say to Bernie and Jane, we know how hard this is. You have put the interest of the nation — and the need to defeat Donald Trump — above all else. And for that Jill and I are grateful. But we also want you to know: I’ll be reaching out to you. You will be heard by me. As you say: Not me, Us.

And to your supporters I make the same commitment: I see you, I hear you, and I understand the urgency of what it is we have to get done in this country. I hope you will join us. You are more than welcome. You’re needed.

Together we will defeat Donald Trump. And when we do that, we’ll not only do the hard work of rebuilding this nation — we’ll transform it.

Sanders Suspends Campaign - Urges The Defeat Of Trump

On Wednesday, Senator Bernie Sanders suspended his presidential campaign. He will remain on the ballot in the states that have yet to vote, so he can get more delegates to affect the platform of the Democratic Party. But the race for the nomination is now over. Joe Biden will be the nominee for president of the Democratic Party.

Here is part of Sanders' message to his supporters:

I wish I could give you better news, but I think you know the truth. And that is that we are now some 300 delegates behind Vice President Biden, and the path toward victory is virtually impossible. So while we are winning the ideological battle, and while we are winning the support of young people and working people throughout the country, I have concluded that this battle for the Democratic nomination will not be successful. 
And so today I am announcing the suspension of active campaigning, and congratulate Joe Biden, a very decent man, on his victory.
Please know that I do not make this decision lightly. In fact, it has been a very painful decision. Over the past few weeks Jane and I, in consultation with top staff and many of our prominent supporters, have made an honest assessment of the prospects for victory. If I believed we had a feasible path to the nomination I would certainly continue the campaign. But it's not there.
I know there may be some in our movement who disagree with this decision, who would like us to fight on to the last ballot cast at the Democratic convention. I understand that position. But as I see the crisis gripping the nation – exacerbated by a president unwilling or unable to provide any kind of credible leadership – and the work that needs to be done to protect people in this most desperate hour, I cannot in good conscience continue to mount a campaign that cannot win and which would interfere with the important work required of all of us in this difficult hour.
But let me say this very emphatically: As you all know, we have never been just a campaign. We are a grassroots multi-racial, multi-generational movement which has always believed that real change never comes from the top on down, but always from the bottom on up. We have taken on Wall Street, the insurance companies, the drug companies, the fossil fuel industry, the military industrial complex, the prison industrial complex and the greed of the entire corporate elite. That struggle continues. While this campaign is coming to an end, our movement is not.
Martin Luther King, Jr. reminded us that "The arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends toward justice." The fight for justice is what our campaign was about. The fight for justice is what our movement remains about.
And, on a practical note, let me also say this: I will stay on the ballot in all remaining states and continue to gather delegates. While Vice President Biden will be the nominee, we should still work to assemble as many delegates as possible at the Democratic convention where we will be able to exert significant influence over the party platform and other functions.
Then, together, standing united, we will go forward to defeat Donald Trump, the most dangerous president in modern American history. And we will fight to elect strong progressives at every level of government – from Congress to the school board.

Monday, April 06, 2020

Wisconsin Primary Is Today - Will Democrats Show Up?


The chart above reflects the results of the Marquette Law School Poll -- done between March 24th and 29th of about 380 likely Democratic primary voters.

As you can see, Joe Biden enjoys a 28 point lead over Bernie Sanders in Wisconsin.

Wisconsin's governor wanted to delay the election and institute a vote-by-mail system. The Republicans in the state legislature seem to have killed that idea, so it looks like Wisconsin Democrats will vote on Tuesday.

In a normal time, there is little doubt that Biden would easily cruise to victory, even though Sanders won the state in 2016. But these are not normal times, and the Coronavirus epidemic could affect the primary. Will Democrats turn out in large numbers? Or will they stay at hone -- figuring the election is over and opt to protect themselves from the virus?

If it is the latter, the primary could be much closer. It will be interesting to see what the Wisconsin voters choose to do.

Thursday, April 02, 2020

Voters Say Biden Will Be Nominee & Give Him 4 Point Edge



The charts above reflect the results of the latest Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between March 29th and 31st of a national sample of 1,194 registered voters, with a 3.2 point margin of error.

Sunday, March 22, 2020

Sanders Campaign Raises Money For Coronavirus Victims

Regular readers of this blog will know I did not support Senator Bernie Sanders for the Democratic presidential nomination. I support his progressive views, but did not think he would be able to beat Trump in the general election.

I do admire his latest action though. He has put his progressive view and morality into real action. Instead of asking his supporters for more money for his campaign, he has asked them to donate money for charity -- specifically charities to help the victims of the Coronavirus.

And his supporters rose to the occasion. They have donated over $2 million dollars, and more is expected in the future.

On this, I have nothing but praise and respect for Senator Sanders, and for his supporters who answered the call to help.

The charities that will receive the money are:

Meals on Wheels
No Kid Hungry
Restaurant Workers' Community Foundation
COVID-19 Emergency Relief Fund
One Fair Wage Emergency Fund
National Domestic Workers Alliance

Friday, March 20, 2020

New Poll Has Biden With A 21 Point Lead Nationally


The chart above reflects the results of the new Economist / YouGov Poll of Democratic voters. It was done between March 15th and 17th of 551 registered voters who have either voted in a primary or say they will vote.

The poll shows Joe Biden with a 21 point lead (57% to 36%) over Bernie Sanders.

Sanders leads among two demographic groups -- a 3 point lead among Hispanics and a 50 point lead among 18 to 29 year-olds. Biden has a significant lead among all other groups.

Wednesday, March 18, 2020

Joe Biden Wins Big In Florida, Illinois, And Arizona

Ohio didn't vote yesterday. It's governor refused to abide by a court decision and used the excuse of the election being a public health hazard. He cancelled the election, saying it would be held later (possibly in June).

But the other states voted -- Florida, Illinois, and Arizona. And Joe Biden scored huge victories in all three states. He won Florida by about 39 points, Illinois by about 23 points, and Arizona by about 12 points.

That gave him most of the available delegates in those states, and he increased his delegate lead from about 150 to nearly 300.

It looks like Joe Biden is going to be our nominee. But I still don't think Bernie Sanders should be pressured to quit. Let him make that decision in his own time, and don't give his supporters the idea they were not allowed to have their say.

Tuesday, March 17, 2020

More States Will Vote Today


Four more states are scheduled to hold their Democratic primaries today, and those states have a combined 577 delegates. The states are Florida (219 delegates), Ohio (136 delegates), Illinois (155 delegates), and Arizona (67 delegates).

The governor of Ohio is trying to delay the primary until June 2nd, and has gone to court to stop it from happening today. He is likely to succeed.

The other three states will be voting.

Polls have Joe Biden with a significant lead over Bernie Sanders in all four states. Biden enters the day with 863 delegates. Sanders has 712. Biden will likely add to his 151 delegate lead today.

Monday, March 16, 2020

Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points (And Sanders Leads By 4)


The chart above reflects the results of a new NBC News / Wall Street Journal Poll -- done between March 11th and 13th of a national sample of 900 registered voters, with a 3.27 point margin of error.

It shows Joe Biden currently enjoys a 9 point lead over Donald Trump (52% to 43%), and Bernie Sanders has a 4 point lead (49% to 45%).

The poll also questioned 438 Democratic primary voters, with a 4.68 point margin of error. It shows Biden with a 29 point lead over Sanders (see chart below).


Saturday, March 14, 2020

Biden Extends His Lead Over Sanders To 24 Points


The chart above compares national support for Biden and Sanders for before and after the last primaries. The chart is from the Morning Consult Poll. The before sample was done between March 5th and 8th of 9,593 likely Democratic primary voters, with a margin of error of 1 point. The after sample was done on March 11th of 2,072 likely Democratic primary voters, with a 2 point margin of error.

Before the March 10th primaries, Biden had a 14 point lead over Sanders. Now that lead has ballooned to 24 points.

Friday, March 13, 2020

Biden And Sanders Trusted More Than Trump In A Crisis



The charts above reflect the results of the recent Quinnipiac University Poll -- done between March 5th and 8th of a national sample of 1,261 registered voters, with a 4.2 point margin of error.

They show that, according to registered voters, both Biden and Sanders would be trusted to handle a crisis better than Trump. Biden tops Trump by 16 points (56% to 40%), while Sanders tops Trump by 6 points (50% to 44%).

Thursday, March 12, 2020

The Race For The Democratic Nomination Is NOT Over

 (These caricatures of Biden and Sanders are by the inimitable DonkeyHotey.)

Joe Biden has had three very good primary nights in a row -- first in South Carolina, then on Super Tuesday, and finally with the March 10th primaries. The result is that Biden now has about a 140 delegate lead over Bernie Sanders.

This has some political pundits and party officials saying the race is over. They want Sanders to suspend his campaign so the party can "unify" to take on Trump in November. They are wrong!

This race for the presidential nomination is far from over. Only 24 states have voted -- 26 more (and some territories) have yet to vote. And neither candidate has even reach the 1000 delegate mark (let alone the 1991 needed to secure the nomination). It is not yet time to pressure Sanders to drop out.

Politics is a strange animal. Before South Carolina, everyone was writing off the Biden candidacy as dead. Then he made one of the most remarkable comebacks in modern American politics. Who is to say that the Sanders candidacy couldn't do the same?

If we really want to unify the party, then we should let the race complete itself. You won't get Sanders' supporters to climb on board the Biden train by refusing to let them have their say at the ballot box. Let them vote. There is no rush. If they are allowed to make their statement by voting, they will be much more likely to unify for the November fight to unseat Trump.

I am not a Sanders supporter, and I think it is likely that Biden will win the nomination. But there is no reason to rush the process. The process established is for the voters to choose their nominee. Let them do it!

New YouGov Poll Has Biden Leading Sanders By 15 Points


The chart above reflects the results of the latest Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between March 6th and 10th of a national sample of 573 Democratic primary voters.

It has Joe Biden with a 15 point lead over Bernie Sanders (53% to 38%). Sanders leads among only two groups -- those age 18-29 and those age 30-44. Biden leads in all other demographic groups.

Biden Closer Than Sanders To Denmark's Social Democracy

(Photo of Denmark is by Fedor Selivanov, and was found at newyorker.com.)

Bernie Sanders likes to hold up the nation of Denmark as the model for what the United States could be. He calls it a Democratic socialism. There's just one problem with that. Denmark is not a socialist country. It is a social democracy -- with a market-based free enterprise system, an adequate social safety net, and regulations that ensure all citizens are treated fairly and share in economic growth.

And while Sanders supporters won't like to hear this, that describes the vision of Joe Biden more than it does Bernie Sanders. Here's part of how Thomas A. Friedman puts it in The New York Times:

Bernie Sanders often cites Denmark as the kind of country he would like America to be under his ideology of “democratic socialism.” Well, here’s a news flash: Bernie Sanders, with his hostile attitudes toward free trade, free markets and multinational corporations, probably couldn’t get elected to a municipal council in Denmark today. Ironically, Joe Biden, with his more balanced views on trade, corporations and unions, probably could. . . .

Denmark is actually a hypercompetitive, wide-open, market economy devoted to free trade and expanding globalization, since trade — exports and imports — makes up roughly half of Denmark’s G.D.P.

Indeed, Denmark’s 5.8 million people have produced some of the most globally competitive multinationals in the world, by the names of A.P. Moller-Maersk, Danske Bank, Novo Nordisk, Carlsberg Group, Vestas, Coloplast, the Lego Group and Novozymes. These are the very giant multinationals Sanders constantly rails against.

As the former Danish prime minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen once remarked in a speech at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government to those who might not fully grasp the Danish model: “I would like to make one thing clear, Denmark is far from a socialist planned economy. Denmark is a market economy. The Nordic model is an expanded welfare state, which provides a high level of security for its citizens, but it is also a successful market economy with much freedom to pursue your dreams and live your life as you wish.”

It is through these engines of capitalism, free trade, economic openness and globalization that Denmark has managed to become wealthy enough to afford the social safety net that Sanders rightly admires — as do I: access for all to child care, medical and parental leave from work, tuition-free college, a living stipend, universal health care and generous pensions. . . .

America is now out of balance. We all sense it in the gross and widening inequality we see around us. Sanders sincerely wants to eliminate that. Alas, so do a lot of us. Michael Bloomberg was running on a platform advocating a 5-percent surtax on incomes of over $5 million annually.

But when you begin that conversation, as Sanders does, by effectively demonizing all risk-taking American entrepreneurs as corrupt, by vowing to redistribute their income — which Sanders seems to believe is all ill gotten by definition — by pretending that all the benefits can be paid for by the wealthy and nothing from the middle class and by voting against the new version of NAFTA — which was supported by the A.F.L.-C.I.O. and Nancy Pelosi as precisely the kind of trade deal with the very union and environmental protections Democrats have long sought — then your true model country is not Denmark. It’s a socialist fantasy.

The truth is, Joe Biden would make a much better Scandinavian-type leader than Bernie Sanders.

Biden, in my view, would be much more likely to — and able to — build a new social contract in America than a President Sanders, because Biden not only genuinely cares about the working class and the homeless — and understands the need for access to lifelong education and health care — he also knows that you don’t get there by demonizing the engines of capitalism and job creation. You have to find a way to work with them.

Denmark did not become Denmark because of a revolution. It evolved where it is today through a steady iteration — unleashing its entrepreneurs on the world to generate as much wealth as they could while constantly forging a dialogue at home among all the stakeholders about how best to share enough of the profits to have a truly just safety net, while not destroying the free-market, free-trade engines of growth, and while maintaining a high sales tax so everyone contributes something.

If Denmark’s social contract is your model — and it’s a good one — then I’d trust Biden much more than Bernie to head us there.

Wednesday, March 11, 2020

Biden Has A Great Night - Extends His Delegate Lead


Bernie Sanders needed a big night in the March 10th primaries. He didn't get it. The big night went to Joe Biden.

Biden started the night with wins in Mississippi, Missouri, and Michigan -- all by large margins. These states helped Biden to significantly increase his lead in delegates.

As I write this, Biden is also leading in Idaho, and trailing in North Dakota. In Washington, Biden and Sanders are nearly dead even. Regardless of who finally wins these three states, neither candidate will show a significant lead in delegates from them.

There are still about half of the states that have not yet held their primaries, but things are getting critical for Sanders. Another 500 or so delegates will be up for grabs on March 17th. If Sanders doesn't cut down Biden's delegate lead than, it will be hard to see a path for him to win the nomination.