Thursday, October 17, 2024
Harris Has A 21-Point Lead Over Trump Among Voters Under 30
The chart above reflects the results of the Yale Youth Poll -- done on October 7th and 8th of a nationwide sample of 2,750 voters under the age of 30, with a 2.4 point margin of error.
New Marist Poll Has Harris With A 5-Point Advantage Over Trump
The chart above is from the Marist Poll -- done between October 8th and 10th of a nationwide sample of 1,401 likely voters, with a margin of error of 3.9 points.
Trump And His MAGA Sycophants Will Try To Steal The Election
The following is part of an electoral warning from Neal K. Katyal in The New York Times:
In 2020, when Donald Trump questioned the results of the election, the courts decisively rejected his efforts, over and over again. In 2024, the judicial branch may be unable to save our democracy.
The rogues are no longer amateurs. They have spent the last four years going pro, meticulously devising a strategy across multiple fronts — state legislatures, Congress, executive branches and elected judges — to overturn any close election.
The new challenges will take place in forums that have increasingly purged officials who put country over party. They may take place against the backdrop of razor-thin election margins in key swing states, meaning that any successful challenge could potentially change the election.
We have just a few short weeks to understand these challenges so that we can be vigilant against them. . . .
Two votes on Nov. 5 will matter tremendously to sidestepping the chaos. One is the presidential vote. If either candidate wins the Electoral College decisively, any dispute will be rendered academic.
The other is the vote for Congress. A key point here is that it is the new House and Senate, not the existing ones, that will call the shots on Jan. 6. Congress desperately needs principled people who will put democracy over self-interest and party politics.
Americans should vote for candidates who share a commitment to democracy and who will think critically before accepting election innuendo. The next month must be about ensuring continued rule by the people and for the people.
Wednesday, October 16, 2024
Voters Give Harris A Slim Lead - Don't Think Trump Will Accept The Result
The charts above are from a Pew Research Center survey -- done between September 30th and October 6th of 4,025 registered voters, with a 1.9 point margin of error.
Economists Say Trump Policies Will Cause More Inflation Than Harris Policies
The following is part of a post by Zeeshan Aleem at MSNBC.com:
Much of the Republican case against a Kamala Harris presidency has rested on the claim that she’s responsible for — and would continue — policies that caused eye-watering inflation for people during the Biden administration. But a new survey of economists, conducted by The Wall Street Journal, finds that most economists believe that former President Donald Trump would pursue a more inflationary policy regime.
The Journal polled 50 economists as to whether they believed Harris’ or Trump’s proposed policies would cause higher inflation and found that 12% said Harris and 68% said Trump, while another 20% responded there would be no material difference between the two. Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman described the coalescing around Harris as less likely to produce high inflation as “as close to unanimity as the profession gets.”
More striking still: That survey represented a broader consensus pinning higher inflation on Trump than an earlier version of the survey in July, which compared Trump with Biden, since Biden was still the expected Democratic nominee at that time. In that earlier poll, 16% of economists said Biden would cause higher inflation, 56% answered Trump, and 27% said it would make no material difference.
These survey results are damning for Trump, whose main pitch to voters outside of his diehard base is that his economic record is stronger than Biden and Harris’ — and that he alone can bring down high prices. And yet, the more economists are hearing about his plans, the more they’re convinced he’s more likely to cause prices to surge. . . .
The Journal’s poll is good news for Harris. Now a key task of the campaign is to make sure that ordinary citizens — especially the coveted low-information swing voter — understand that she should be the obvious preference for people worried about how expensive everything is
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