Texas Gone Kinky is still tracking the early voting numbers in the five most populated Texas counties, and they are still looking pretty good. All of the counties are showing an increase in voters, except for Harris County, which shows a slight decrease. Here are the cumulative totals for the first three days of early voting:
BEXAR COUNTY
last election..........27,206
this election..........51,267
+88.4%
TRAVIS COUNTY
last election..........25,158
this election..........32,035
+27.3%
TARRANT COUNTY
last election..........39,406
this election..........45,641
+15.8%
DALLAS COUNTY
last election..........50,324
this election..........55,200
+9.7%
HARRIS COUNTY
last election..........42,207
this election..........41,205
-2.3%
Kinky needs the voter turnout for this election to be much larger than normal, and a large turnout usually bodes well for the Democrats also. Does anyone out there know how the vote is going in some of the smaller counties? Is the vote also up in those counties? If you know, I would appreciate the information.
When you are comparing "this election" to the "last election," the last statewide election was a 2005 constitutional amendment ballot.
ReplyDeleteConstitional amendment ballots with no candidates typically draw only 30% to 40% of the votes in a statewide election with candidates.
Showing an increase in early voting for this vote as compared to the last vote is not very helpful.
How do early votes compare against the 2004 election?
Jefferson County is up almost 300%:
ReplyDelete"As for election turnout, so far it's been big.
3,933 people in Jefferson County have cast ballots during the first three days of early voting. That's almost three times as many people as the 1,350 voted during the first three days of early voting in 2002.
When you add 222 absentee ballots that have been mailed back to the county clerk so far this year, it adds up to 4,155 that have been cast."
They've had horrible problems with e-voting there, and it's not very liberal (witness the Prop 2 result) but it is reliably Democratic (Kerry won the county in 2004).
Thanks for the info, pdiddie.
ReplyDelete