Thursday, February 07, 2008

Looking Forward To March 4th


Tuesday was an exciting night, and I stayed up way too late watching the returns. But for a political junkie like myself, that was one of the best nights of the year -- so far. A few months ago, nearly all of us thought Tuesday was going to tell us who the nominee will be, but that didn't happen. At this point, I don't think anyone knows who the Democratic nominee will be.

Obama won the most states last night, while Clinton won the biggest states. But when they added up all of the votes for all of the states on Super Tuesday, it was virtually a tie. Both Clinton and Obama finished with slightly more than 17,000,000 votes. But as interesting as all that is, it is just the window-dressing. The only thing that matters are delegates.

Obama still has a small lead in pledged delegates, but when you add in the super-delegates, the lead goes to Clinton. According to the pundits, the next few states have large black populations or are caucus states. It is believed that Obama will draw even closer in total delegates in these states. That means when the show gets to Texas and Ohio on March 4th, the two will probably be nearly tied in delegates.

Wow! I would have been happy just to have the issue undecided when it got to Texas, but this is even better. Texas and Ohio have a lot of delegates, and could be the states that puts one or the other in the lead to stay. This is heady stuff for a Texas voter. We're used to it being all over but the shouting by the time we get to vote.

Here are the delegate totals so far:


CLINTON
pledged delegates 630
superdelegates 193
total delegates 823

OBAMA
pledged delegates 635
superdelegates 106
total delegates 741

EDWARDS
pledged delegates 26
superdelegates 0
total delegates 26

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