Sunday, February 10, 2008

Obama Has A Good Weekend


The Democrats had a primary in Louisiana, and caucuses in Nebraska and Washington this weekend. Barack Obama swept all three of them, with getting 55% of the vote in Louisiana and 68% in both caucus states. In the three states, Obama picked up 74 new delegates while Clinton got 37 delegates.

This gives Obama the lead in pledged delegates (those won in a primary or caucus) with 908 to Clinton's 877. But when you add in the superdelegates, Clinton still has a small lead, 1100 - 1039. It's still very close, but Obama seems to have the momentum right now. Next up is DC and Virginia and those should trend for Obama too.

This makes Texas and Ohio very important. The candidates will enter the March 4th primary in these states tied in delegates, but with Obama gathering momentum. Clinton must win at least one of those big states to stop his momentum, or she will start falling behind. And you don't want to fall behind this late in the process.

Democrats are still looking good. In the two states where both Democrats and Republicans chose delegates on Saturday, the Democrats showed up in far greater numbers. I'd love to see that trend continue in Ohio and Texas, both of which wound up in the Republican column in the last presidential election.

Unless the Republicans can pull a lot of rabbits out of their hat between now and November, the next president will be a black or a woman. Amazing!

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