Obama Maintains Momentum

On March 4th, Clinton claimed to have stopped the momentum Obama had after 11 straight wins. She won Rhode Island, Ohio and claimed a win in Texas, while Obama won in Vermont. But it looks like Obama's momentum was just slowed, not stopped.

CNN has now admitted that the real winner in Texas was Barack Obama, who came out of the state with the most delegates. Since then, Obama has continued his winning ways. Last week, he took the majority of delegates from Wyoming's caucus, and last night he won big in Mississippi.

With around 98% of Mississippi's vote counted, Obama had 60% of the vote to 38% for Clinton. He has also extended his lead in delegates. According to CNN, Obama now has 1402 pledged delegates and Clinton trails with 1240. When the superdelegates are added in, Obama has 1608 delegates and Clinton has 1478.

This puts Clinton at a serious disadvantage. In order to catch up with Obama, she would need to win by over 64% in ALL of the remaining states. I don't think she'll win all of those states -- let alone by that huge margin (she couldn't even break 40% in Mississippi). She might win in Pennsylvania, but it won't be by anywhere near 64%.

That means that Obama will go to the convention win a convincing majority of the pledged delegates. With that happening, I think the majority of superdelegates will also go to Obama, and he will become the nominee. A superdelegate nullification of the pledged-delegate candidate would split the party, and could be disastrous in November.

Speaking of November, if the Democrats can avoid a split and turn out the primary voters again, they will ride a huge wave to victory. Mississippi was just like all the other states, in that they turned out nearly three times as many voters for their primary than the Republicans did. That has to be scaring the hell out of Republicans.