Tuesday, March 29, 2016

The Clinton/Sanders "Enthusiasm Gap" Now Favors Clinton


The consensus about the cable news talking heads has been that while Clinton has more voter support, Sanders supporters are more enthusiastic in their support. They judge that on the size of the crowds. But crowd size is not necessarily the be-all-and-end-all for judging enthusiasm. There are a lot of people who are enthusiastic about supporting a particular candidate, but have no interest in being part of any crowd. Their enthusiasm shows up in the voting booth.

The Gallup Poll decided to test this enthusiasm. Between March 21st and 23rd they questioned 1,358 registered voters about their enthusiasm for their chosen candidate (with the margin of error being 5 points for both Democrats and Republicans).

And what they found busts the myth that Sanders supporters are more enthusiastic than Clinton supporters. In fact, it is just the opposite -- with 77% of Clinton supporters say they are enthusiastic in their support of her, while 71% said they were enthusiastic about supporting Sanders.

Among Republicans, Trump has the most enthusiastic supporters -- with 88% of them saying they are enthusiastic in their support of him. Cruz trail far behind with only 64%, and Kasich is dead last with only 48%.

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