Tuesday, March 18, 2008

Nationally, Democrats Prefer Obama


Things just seem to keep getting worse for Clinton every day. Obama leads in the total delegate count by about 120 delegates. He also leads in the number of states he has won, and also leads in the total number of votes received.

Clinton claims some kind of advantage because she has won in some of the bigger states. That is a silly argument, because a win in the primary doesn't guarantee she would win those states in the general election, or that Obama couldn't win there in the general election.

The argument also fails when you compare his "small states" to her "big states". The states won by Obama add up to more electoral votes than the states Clinton has won.

It even looks worse, when you consider that Obama has added over forty superdelegates to his total in the last month, while Clinton has actually lost some superdelegates.

Yesterday, there was even more bad news for the Clinton campaign. A new CNN/Opinion Research poll says that the majority of Democrats in America as a whole prefer Barack Obama. The poll, conducted March 14 thru March 16, says that Obama is the preferred candidate of 52% of Democrats.

About 45% of Democrats would prefer Clinton be the nominee. The 7% difference is larger than the sampling error of 4.5%. This poll makes it even harder for Clinton to claim the superdelegates should give her the nomination. The superdelegates would not only have to overrule the majority of delegates, but also the majority of Democrats nationwide.

It is time for Clinton to start thinking about how to gracefully exit this race. Her continued attacks on Obama are just helping John McCain, and frankly, are starting to smell like sour grapes.

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