Monday, May 11, 2015

Walker Is Coming Back To The Pack In N.H. And Nationally



For a while, Scott Walker was the flavor of the month among Republican hopefuls, and had a significant lead among New Hampshire GOP voters -- but that seems to have vanished. As the top chart shows, Walker is now in a dead heat with three other Republicans (Paul, Bush, Rubio) in New Hampshire with several others not far behind.

And the same goes for the national scene (second chart). The same four candidates lead nationally, but not by much -- with percentages varying between 9% and 16%. Obviously, there is no real leader among Republicans at this time -- and one is left to wonder how long this will go until someone starts to take control. Will it go deep into the primary season?

The top chart is from a new Bloomberg Politics / Saint Anselm Poll of 400 GOP primary New Hampshire voters, with a 4.9 point margin of error. It was done between May 2nd and 6th.

The second chart is from a new YouGov Poll of 1,000 adults nationally, and has about a 4 point margin of error -- and was done between May 2nd and 4th.

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