These are some interesting results from the latest national poll of Republicans. It seems that a majority of Republicans (56%) consider John McCain to be a war hero, and that same percentage thinks Donald Trump owes McCain an apology for doubting his hero status.
But that has not hurt Trump in the polls. This poll (the YouGov Poll done between July 20th and 22nd of 1,000 random national adults -- with a margin of error of 4 points) shows Trump with his biggest lead yet. He has the support of 28% of Republicans -- 14 points better than Bush, and 15 points better than Walker. No other candidate got more than 7% (one-quarter the support that Trump got).
Trump has definitely tapped into the anger of the GOP teabagger base, and they don't care what he says about anyone else -- even other Republicans. They are angry, and they see Trump as the candidate (the only candidate) that is voicing the anger they feel.
Political pundits keep saying that Trump will fade, but he certainly isn't fading yet. And I'm starting to think he may have more staying power than anyone thought. The teabaggers have been looking for a hero for six years, and it looks like they have finally found one -- Donald Trump.
This does not necessarily mean he will win the nomination, and in fact, most Republicans don't think he will. About 36% think Jeb Bush will be the eventual winner, while 11% think it will be Walker, 10% think it will be Trump, and 7% think it will be Rubio (see chart below).
I really have to wonder how much of this is just "Trump's in the news!" One of the most vexing aspects of my campaign to talk to conservatives is just how unstable they are. They really are authoritarian followers. Fox News says "Scott Walker is our man!" and next week, Scott Walker has 28%. I don't know. I believe there is a core of strong Trump support. But 28%? I don't know.
ReplyDeleteTrump wins the nomination! Voters put rePUKEians into power, there by demonstrating that most of the people are stupid!
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