For months now, New Hampshire has been Bush country. That is no longer true. Just like in many other states, Donald Trump now holds a significant lead in that state -- 5 points over Bush, 6 points over Kasich, 8 points over Cruz, and 9 points over Fiorina. Every one is in low single-digits.
And Trump has an even bigger lead in Missouri -- 12 points over Bush and Carson, 13 points over Huckabee, 14 points over Cruz, 15 points over Walker, and 16 points over Fiorina. Again, everyone else is in low single-digits.
Trump just keeps rolling along. His percentages aren't high enough to give him the nomination, and may never get that high. But he is definitely a player in the GOP race.
The New Hampshire numbers are from the Boston Herald / Franklin Pierce University Poll -- done between August 7th and 10th of a random sample of 414 likely GOP voters, and has a margin of error of 4.8 points.
The Missouri numbers are from a new Public Policy Polling survey -- done between August 7th and 9th of a random sample of 440 GOP primary voters, with a margin of error of 3.3 points.
Missouri: wow; just, wow.
ReplyDeleteThe Missouri numbers look very similar to the Iowa numbers for both parties. I wonder if it's a Midwest thing.
ReplyDelete