Wednesday, January 13, 2016

Is Bernie Sanders Streaking Ahead In New Hampshire ?

The chart above reflects the results of a new Monmouth University Poll in New Hampshire -- done between January 7th and 10th of a random sample of 413 likely New Hampshire Democratic voters, and has a margin of error of 4.8 points.

The Monmouth poll shows Bernie Sanders with 14 point lead in New Hampshire over Hillary Clinton. This is surprising, since several other recent polls in New Hampshire have shown a very close race there -- a race that either Sanders or Clinton could win.

Is this poll an outlier, or do they have a better grip on what's happening in New Hampshire? I do think Sanders has a good chance to win New Hampshire, but I doubt it'll be by such a large margin. It'll be interesting to see what future polls show.

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