Tuesday, March 01, 2016

New Dem Polls For Massachusetts, Alabama, & Oklahoma


Today is Super Tuesday, and as the voters in several states go to the polls, I bring you these latest polls of three of those states -- Massachusetts, Alabama, and Oklahoma.

The University of Massachusetts at Amherst / WBZ Poll was done between February 19th and 25th of a random sample of 400 likely Massachusetts Democratic voters, and has a 6.5 point margin of error.

The Monmouth University Poll was done between February 25th and 28th of a random sample of 300 likely Alabama Democratic voters, and 300 likely Oklahoma Democratic voters. The margin of error for both states is 5.7 points.

Eleven states will have primaries/caucuses today (plus American Samoa and Democrats Abroad). Bernie Sanders best chances are in Vermont (his home state), Oklahoma, Minnesota, Massachusetts, and Colorado. He will undoubtably take Vermont, and I expect him to take one or two of the others. But they will be close -- with Sanders and Clinton pretty much splitting the delegates offered by these states.

But Hillary Clinton is strong in the Southern states (Arkansas, Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia). She will take a significant majority of the delegates in those states -- and which will help her to extend her lead in overall delegates.

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