Sunday, August 14, 2016

Donald Trump's "Doom Loop"

(Caricature of Donald Trump is by DonkeyHotey.)

Daniel Drezner, author and professor of international politics at Tufts University, has a theory about why the Trump campaign is failing. He says it has entered a "doom loop". (This picture of Drezner is from the Washington Post.)

Here is that Doom Loop:

Donald Trump has stumbled into a campaign doom loop:
  1. Trump’s polling gets a negative shock
  2. Fewer moderates attend his rallies
  3. Only hardcore supporters go see Trump
  4. Trump tailors speeches to get a rise out of his audience
  5. With an audience of crazies, Trump needs to sound even crazier
  6. In sounding crazier, Trump’s poll numbers sink, more voters turned off
  7. Back to #2

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