Wednesday, October 19, 2016

New Poll Has Clinton Within Margin Of Error In Texas

The chart above reflects the results of the newly-released University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs Poll -- done between October 7th and 15th of a random sample of 1,000 registered voters in Texas, with a 3 point margin of error.

Last Saturday, I showed you a WFAA TV / SurveyUSA Poll that showed Hillary Clinton was only 4 points behind Donald Trump in the very red state of Texas -- closer than any Democratic candidate in many years.

Now that poll has been verified by this new University of Houston Poll, which shows Clinton within 3 points of Trump (within the poll's margin of error).

It looks like a combination of Trump's growing unpopularity (boosted by the revelation of his lewd treatment of women) and continuing demographic change has made this a very close race in Texas. Trump would have to be slightly favored, but this is now a presidential race that could see Texas go blue. It all depends on who turns out on election day (and early voting), and in what kind of numbers they turn out.

I urge those Bernie Sanders supporters who are thinking about voting third party to reconsider. In the past, it wouldn't have made much difference how you voted, but 2016 in different -- and your vote could actually make a real difference.

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