Monday, May 20, 2019

Does Sanders Have Overwhelming Support Of Young Voters?



The Hill / HarrisX Poll was done of a national sample of 18-34 year olds of May 3rd and 4th.


The Morning Consult Poll was done of a national sample of 18 to 29 year olds between April 25th and May 10th.

Recently, I had a friend (who keeps up with politics and who I respect) tell me that he thinks young voters will give Bernie Sanders the Democratic nomination. He thought the you voters overwhelmingly supported Sanders, and since other age groups were split among the candidates, that gave Bernie the edge.

I checked on the most recent polls that gave results for younger voters, and I found that was just not true. Those young voters are also split among candidates.

The Morning Consult Poll did have Sanders with 33% among young voters, but that is far from a majority -- and they note that he has fallen from 46% back in February (a drop of 13 points).

The Hill / HarrisX Poll had Bernie Sanders with only 27.2% among 18 to 34 year olds, trailing Biden by 12.4 points.

It's still early, and Sanders may or may not end up with a majority of young voters, but he's not there yet. I don't think he's going to do it. There are just too many other good choices, and young voters want Trump out of the White House as much as older voters do.

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