Thursday, September 26, 2019

Elizabeth Warren Takes The Lead In Delegate-Rich California


The chart above is from the UC Berkley Institute of Governmental Studies Poll -- done between September 13th and 18th of 2,272 registered voters in California likely to vote in the state's Democratic primary. The margin of error is 3 points.

In the last few days, I have posted polls that show Elizabeth Warren has taken the lead in Iowa and New Hampshire. Now this poll shows she has done the same in California. California is also an early state for 2020 -- voting on March 3rd with a bevy of other states.

Warren has the support of 29% of California Democrats/Leaners, while Biden has 22% and Sanders has 19%. They are followed by Harris with 8%, Buttigieg with 6%, and O'Rourke with 3%.

Warren has gained 11 points since this same poll was done in June. Biden has neither gained nor lost support, and Sanders has gained 2 points. The biggest losers are Harris (who has lost 5 points) and Buttigieg (who has lost 4 points). O'Rourke has neither gained nor lost points.

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