Monday, January 30, 2012

Big Florida Lead For "Wall Street Willie"

This is still a very volatile Republican presidential nomination campaign, and it seems to change almost on a daily basis. Willard Mitt Romney (aka Wall Street Willie) has been in and out of first place in the polls so many times he has to be feeling like he's on a trampoline. And it looks like his latest attack campaign against opponent Newt Gingrich is now having some effect. Newt still leads nationally in the latest Gallup Tracking Poll, but he has lost points in the last couple of days and now only leads by two points (28% to 26%) -- within the margin of error.

And since most of those attacks have been within the state of Florida, that's where the biggest effect is being seen. All of the latest polls are now showing Wall Street Willie with a big lead in Florida. Here are several of the latest polls:

NBC/MARIST POLL
Mitt Romney...............42%
Newt Gingrich...............27%
Rick Santorum...............16%
Ron Paul...............11%
Undecided...............4%

AMERICAN RESEARCH GROUP POLL
Mitt Romney...............43%
Newt Gingrich...............32%
Rick Santorum...............11%
Ron Paul...............8%
Other/Undecided...............6%

MASON DIXON POLL
Mitt Romney...............42%
Newt Gingrich...............31%
Rick Santorum...............14%
Ron Paul...............6%

WAR ROOM LOGISTICS POLL
Mitt Romney...............40%
Newt Gingrich...............30%
Rick Santorum...............15%
Ron Paul...............6%
Undecided...............8%

PUBLIC POLICY POLLING
Mitt Romney...............40%
Newt Gingrich...............32%
Rick Santorum...............15%
Ron Paul...............9%

It looks like Wall Street Willie has Florida in the bag now. But there are still a lot of Southern States to go where Gingrich could score well (since most of them are ruled by the teabagger/evangelical vote), so I'm not willing to hand the nomination to Romney yet. It's still an interesting and volatile race, and anything could happen.

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