Monday, April 14, 2014
Anti-Incumbent Mood Is Still Strong In The United States
A new Rasmussen Poll (conducted on April 9th and 10th of 1,000 likely nationwide voters, with a margin of error of about 3 points) shows that the anti-incumbent feeling in the American public is not lessening any. In fact it may be growing. Nearly one out of every four Americans now say that most (or all) members of Congress do not deserve to be re-elected.
Now we know that all members of Congress will not be defeated this coming November. There are districts in both parties that are safe, and will return the incumbent to Washington. It is among the competitive districts where this anti-incumbent feeling is most likely to show up -- and there are two things about this that should worry incumbent Republicans.
First, several polls have shown that the Democrats are happier with their elected officials than the Republicans are. That means some currently held GOP seats could be won in a primary by a right-wing teabagger, and that would put that seat in danger in the general election. Second, the Republicans currently hold more of these competitive seats than the Democrats do.
I could be wrong (it wouldn't be the first time), but I still think the Democrats have a good shot at flipping the House of Representatives in the coming election.