Yesterday, I posted the results of the One America / Gravis Marketing Poll on the standing of the presidential candidates in Iowa. Now that same poll has released the national results of their survey (done on July 29th of a random national sample of 1,555 registered voters, with a margin of error of 2.5 points).The results for Democrats nationwide is not surprising. The survey just reflects what other polls have shown for many weeks now -- that Hillary Clinton has the support of a significant majority of Democrats (54.9%). Bernie Sanders is second with about 18.4% -- about 36.5 points behind Clinton.
I don't know why, but the poll included Elizabeth Warren -- even though she has made it clear numerous times that she is not a candidate (and will not be a candidate in the 2016 election). It doesn't really matter though, because if none of those supporting her wound up voting for Clinton (which I would doubt), Clinton still has a majority.
On the Republican side of the ledger, Donald Trump is still leading the field of GOP candidates -- and may have extended his lead. This survey puts his support at 30.8% -- 17.5 points ahead of Jeb Bush (13.3%) and 18.3 points ahead of Scott Walker (12.5%).
We are only a few days away from the first nationally televised Republican debate, and it will be interesting to see if that debate affects Trump's numbers. For the first time, he will be onstage with the other leading candidates. Will the comparison help or hurt him?
(NOTE - The caricatures of Clinton and Trump above are by DonkeyHotey.)
Here are the results of the One America / Gravis Marketing Poll:
I still really question the Trump numbers from that poll. But we'll see.
ReplyDeleteI do wish everyone would leave Elizabeth Warren alone! In a lot of ways, she is in the perfect place to have the maximum effect on the country. I love her, but I'm not sure I would want her running for president. Ultimately, I think a workable model is to have people like Obama and Clinton in the White House and people like Warren and Sanders in Congress. I'm still a Sanders supporter, and I'd probably be a Warren supporter if she ran. But as a practical matter, I don't think that is the best use of resources.