Saturday, August 22, 2015

Majority Of Republicans Say Trump Is The Likely Nominee

When Donald Trump tossed his wig into the ring a couple of months ago, announcing his candidacy for the GOP presidential nomination, most political pundits considered it to be little more than a joke. And most Republicans didn't take his candidacy seriously either. In June, only slightly more than one out of four Republicans (27%) considered it likely he could win the nomination (and only 9% said it was very likely).

But things have radically changed in the last two months. Now a solid majority (57%) say it is likely that Trump will win the nomination (and 25% say it is very likely). That's a huge 30 point climb in the last two months, and I think any reasonable person would have to say he has as good a chance as any Republican to get the nomination.

I still am not convinced that Trump will be the GOP nominee, but he can no longer be ignored. He's a serious candidate who's in it for the long haul.

This chart was made from a new Rasmussen Poll -- done on August 19th and 20th of a national sample of 1,000 likely voters, with a 3 point margin of error.

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