Yesterday, I brought you the results of new state polls in New Hampshire, Iowa, and South Carolina. They showed Sanders leading in New Hampshire and Iowa, while Clinton maintained a huge lead in South Carolina. Now we have poll results from Florida. The charts above reflect the new Florida poll by Public Policy Polling. It was done between September 11th and 13th. They queried 368 Democrats and 377 Republicans, with the margin of error for both groups being 5.1 points.
As the top chart shows, Hillary Clinton has a 37 point lead over Bernie Sanders in Florida. That was with Joe Biden being considered a candidate (which he is not, and probably won't be). If you take Biden out of the mix (second chart above), the results are even better for Clinton -- giving her a 44 point lead over Sanders.
The chart below shows the preference of Florida Republicans. Like in other states, the leaders are Donald Trump (27%) and Ben Carson (17%). The most notable thing about the GOP survey was how poorly Jeb Bush (13%) and Marco Rubio (10%) did -- both being from Florida. In fact pluralities of Republicans (47% for Bush and 48% for Rubio) thought both should drop out. That has to hurt.
I've come to believe that the media is trying to create a narrative where if Clinton "only" wins the nomination by 20 percentage points, they will claim that she's in trouble. But given they are going to say that regardless, maybe it doesn't matter. Also: can we stop talking about the email? Matt Yglesias wrote a fantastic (and angry, which is really unusual for him) article, Why is the media more interested in Hillary's email than in Jeb's profoundly dishonest tax pitch? I highly recommend it to everyone.
ReplyDeleteFrank, I've read Matt Yglesias article and I also recommend it. The media has disappointed ever since it looked the other way when the Bush administration was ensconced in DC. I no longer trust their reporting and that includes the once revered NPR. I think the US media is so beholden to "ratings" and "the bottom line" that they simply do not hold the public trust sacred anymore. When we can get more information from a comedian like Jon Stewart, when news programs are divided into conservative and liberal camps, when reporters are involved in scandals, when I get better coverage from the BBC and Aljazeera, how can I trust our media? (Rhetorical question.)
ReplyDeleteI'm with you. Although I'm not that keen on BBC these days either. But Al Jazeera America has really been great. I've been very impressed.
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