Saturday, September 23, 2017

Public Overwhelmingly Opposes Graham-Cassidy Bill


It's starting to look like the latest version of Trumpcare (the Graham-Cassidy bill) is in deep trouble. Yesterday, Senator McCain (R-Arizona) came out against the bill. He said:

"I cannot in good conscience vote for the Graham-Cassidy proposal. I believe we could do better working together, Republicans and Democrats, and have not yet really tried. Nor could I support it without knowing how much it will cost, how it will (affect) insurance premiums, and how many people will be helped or hurt by it. Without a full CBO score, which won't be available by the end of the month, we won't have reliable answers to any of those questions."

That means only one more Republican "no" vote will kill the bill, and Senator Collins (R-Maine) has said she is leaning toward voting against the bill. Sen. Murkowski (R-Alaska) has not said how she would vote, but she voted against the last version of Trumpcare and many expect her to vote against this bill also.

This is probably a good thing for Republicans, even though they are unlikely to admit it. As the chart above shows, the public is against the bill -- with only 24% supporting it and 50% opposing it. And every demographic group (except Republicans) has significantly more opposing the bill than supporting it.

The chart reflects the results of a new Public Policy Polling survey -- done on September  20th and 21st of a random national sample of 638 registered voters.

The ABC News / Washington Post Poll (done between September 18th and 21st of a random national sample of 1,002 adults, with a 3.5 point margin of error) asked the question in a different way -- Which do you prefer, Obamacare or Trumpcare (Graham-Cassidy)? The respondents chose Obamacare 56% to 33%.


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