This chart reflects the results of a new CBS News / YouGov Poll done in the 18 early voting states in the Democratic primary -- the states that will vote on or before March 3rd of 2020. Those states are Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia. The poll questioned 7,885 Democrats and Leaners in those states, and the survey has a margin of error of 1.5 points.
In those 18 early-voting states, Joe Biden has 31% support -- a 14 point lead over Elizabeth Warren (17%) and Bernie Sanders (16%). The 1 point difference between Warren and Sanders is statistically insignificant since it's within the margin of error -- which means Warren and Sanders are basically tied for second place. Kamala Harris had 10% support. No other candidate finished in double figures.
If this poll's state figures hold true (and I admit that's a big if), then the delegate count after March 3rd would be:
Biden..........731
Warren..........355
Sanders..........317
Harris..........76
O' Rourke..........73
Klobuchar..........21
Buttigieg..........2
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