Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Trump's Unpopular In Texas - But Could Still Win The State



The charts on this page are from the recent University of Texas - Tyler Center for Opinion Research Poll -- done between November 5th and 14th of a sample of 1,093 registered voters in Texas, with a 3 point margin of error.

The poll shows that Donald Trump is not popular in Texas. Only 43.3% of the voters approve of the job he is doing, while 49% disapprove -- a negative gap of 5.7 points.

And Texans aren't springing to his defense regarding impeachment. There's only a 2.1 point difference between those who don't want him impeached and those that do want it (44.8% impeach to 46.9% don't impeach). That gap is within the poll's margin of error (meaning Texans are split on the issue).

Those aren't good numbers for Trump, especially since he desperately needs to carry Texas in 2020 if he's to have any chance at re-election. But Democrats shouldn't celebrate yet. As the charts below show, while Trump is not popular, he probably would carry the state if the election was held now.

But for some candidates, it's not an impossible gap to close -- and there is still nearly a year before the 2020 election. Texas will not be an easy state for Democrats to win, but it is not impossible either. It will just take a lot of hard work from Democrats.

I think the poll shows that Texas could still be in play for 2020.






The chart below, from the same poll, shows who the 427 Democratic primary voters questioned currently support. The margin of error for this group is 4.7 points.


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