Saturday, January 25, 2020

Will Bernie's Supporters Help Re-Elect Trump?


In the 2016 election, too many of Bernie Sanders' supporters were angry that he did not get the nomination -- and a significant portion of them then refused to support the Democratic nominee (Clinton) in the general election. That, combined with too many Democrats staying home (thinking Clinton would easily win), caused Donald Trump to win the electoral college.

Have Democrats learned their lesson? Hopefully, they have. I think most will actually go to the polls this year, convinced they must to keep Trump from being re-elected.

But this new poll shows the same might not be true of Bernie's supporters. About 90% of Warren supporters, 87% of Biden supporters, and 86% of Buttigieg supporters say they will vote vote the Democratic nominee -- even if their candidate does not win the nomination.

Sadly, the same is not true of Bernie supporters. Only 53% say they will vote for the Democratic nominee if it is not Sanders. Another 31% say it would depend on who the nominee is, and a whopping 16% say they would NOT vote for the Democratic nominee if it is not Bernie Sanders. Evidently that 16% (and possibly another 31%) would be happy to see Trump re-elected.

The chart above is from a recent Emerson College Poll -- done between January 21st and 23rd of a national sample of 1,128 registered voters, with a 2.8 point margin of error.

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