Wednesday, April 02, 2025

The "Great Dealmaker" Is Having Trouble Making Global Deals

Donald Trump brags that he is a great dealmaker, and he convinced his supporters that he would easily and quickly make deals once he started his second term. He even promised to get a peace deal in Ukraine on his first day! But it's easy to make ridiculous promises, and quite another to follow through on them. And he is having big problems on completing global deals he said would be easy. Axios.com lists five deals that are eluding Trump's magic touch:

On at least five fronts, Trump's ambitions for big international deals are hitting early hurdles:


1. On Ukraine, Trump campaigned on securing a deal to end the fighting within 24 hours — though now he claims that promise was "a little bit sarcastic."

  • Trump did get Russia and Ukraine to the negotiating table, and to agree to stop bombing each other's energy infrastructure. But Russian President Vladimir Putin has cast doubt on the possibility of a peace deal any time soon.
  • Trump said Sunday he was "pissed off" at Putin for his recent comments, and threatened additional oil tariffs if Moscow continues to stand in the way of a full ceasefire.
  • He also fired a warning shot at Ukraine, after President Volodymyr Zelensky complained that the minerals deal Kyiv negotiated with the U.S. is "constantly changing."

2. On GazaTrump helped deliver a breakthrough before even taking office when his team worked with the outgoing Biden administration to secure a ceasefire.

  • That truce is now over, and Israel on Monday announced it would massively expand its renewed ground operation in Gaza.
  • Trump isn't actively pursuing his own proposal for the U.S. to displace Gaza's population to construct a new "Riviera." Instead, he's focusing on restarting talks to restore the ceasefire and free the remaining 59 hostages, Axios' Barak Ravid reports. Israeli and U.S. officials believe 22 of them are still alive.

3. On IranTrump issued an ultimatum demanding Tehran agree to a new nuclear deal within two months or face potential military strikes. That's led to further threats from both sides.

  • Iranian leaders have rejected the idea of direct negotiations with the Trump administration, but left open the possibility of indirect talks.
  • "If they don't make a deal, there will be bombing," Trump told NBC on Sunday.

4. On Greenland, Trump continues to insist that the U.S. "needs" to obtain the autonomous Danish territory, perhaps by military force.

  • Vice President Vance laid out one path to a deal last week: Greenland votes for independence from Denmark, then signs a security pact with the U.S.
  • The island's new prime minister announced a new coalition last week in part to unite againstU.S. pressure.

5. On tariffsit's unclear if Trump is actually using them as leverage to cut deals — as Wall Street once assumed — or if he wants the levies in place long-term.

  • Blue chip companies have announced billions of dollars of investments in the U.S. to try to preempt the tariffs and get on Trump's good side — Exhibit A for why Republicans remain optimistic about his trade strategy.
  • But countries uncertain of how to protect themselves from Trump's economic wrath are starting to look elsewhere.

In an extraordinary sign of how Trump's hardball tactics are reshaping the world, China, South Korea and Japan — three countries with deep historical grievances — agreed to respond jointly to U.S. tariffs, according to Chinese state media.

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