Wednesday, August 03, 2022

Will Sinema Again Kill A Bill That Most Americans Need?

The Inflation Reduction Act, agreed to by 49 Democrats and President Biden, is a bill that Americans need. But it will need 50 votes (plus the vote of Vice President Harris) to pass the Senate. The lone holdout among Democrats is Krysten Sinema of Arizona. She has refused, at least so far, to say whether she supports the bill or not.

Here is what the editorial board of The Washington Post has to say about this:

Senate Democrats have overcome obstacle after obstacle in their push to pass a reconciliation package, and this week they’re close to the finish. Unless a final something — or someone — stands in their way.

Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) reportedly wasn’t included in talks between Sen. Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.) and Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) as they hammered out the details of the surprise Inflation Reduction Act announced last week. The deal, nonetheless, is largely in line with the preferences she laid out in past negotiations: from its relatively modest reforms to prescription drug pricing to action on climate to the 15 percent corporate minimum tax rate estimated to raise $313 billion. Indeed, that the legislation neglects broader hikes on the highest-income Americans is itself a form of concession. There is, however, a big exception. The closure of the carried interest loophole has been a boogeyman for Ms. Sinema from the beginning. But it is in the bill before her today — and for good reason.

The carried interest loophole is essentially a way for fund managers to make a lot of money and pay the government very little back because the share of the fund’s profits they receive for their work is taxed at a top rate of just under 24 percent — dramatically less than the 37 percent top rate for ordinary income. This giveaway is so valuable that many have it to thank for the bulk of their fortunes. The Wall Street Journal reported last week that Blackstone Inc. Chief Executive Stephen Schwarzman received somewhere around $150 million in carried interest compensation last year; two other executives at the company received close to $92 million and $77 million. There’s simply no excuse for any lawmaker who purports to care about economic justice or equality to oppose eliminating the carried interest loophole.

Yet all the same, Congress — many of whose members benefit from the donations of the deep-pocketed — could allow this scandal to persist, especially if Ms. Sinema demands it. She shouldn’t. Republicans have been making hay in recent days of an analysis by the nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation, claiming that the reconciliation would raise rates on those earning less than $400,000 per year, contrary to President Biden’s pledges. This is mostly meaningless. The theory that some of the new 15 percent minimum tax on corporations would be passed on to employees and to shareholders doesn’t change the reality that the bulk of the burden would fall on the richest and the bulk of the benefit would redound to those worse off: whether it comes as help affording medicine or health care or as an investment in slowing global warming.

Ms. Sinema shouldn’t sink this bill, most of whose contents she has indicated in the past that she supports. And she shouldn’t sink it because she opposes closing the carried interest loophole. That provision unambiguously aids those who need help most, at the expense only of those who need it not at all.

No Cure

Political Cartoon is by Matt Wuerker at Politico.com.
 

The Value Of The 32 NFL Franchises

 

Tuesday, August 02, 2022

Texas Needs A New Governor!


 

Republicans Are On The Wrong Side Of The Abortion Issue






 The charts above are from a Public Religion Research Institute Poll -- done between June 24th and 26th of a nationwide sample of 2,038 adults, with a 2.3 point margin of error.

Only Death Bed Treatment

Political Cartoon is by Nick Anderson at Counterpoint.com.
 

Democrats Can Defy Historical Precedent In 2022 Election


Political pundits are still predicting that Democrats will lose the House in the coming election, and maybe even the Senate. Historical precedent would tend to show they are right. But this is not a normal year. The Republican Party has become an extremist organization, and most Americans don't like extremism from either side of the political spectrum. Add to this the fact that most Americans agree with Democrats on most major issues, and I believe this election could turn historical precedent on its head.

E.J. Dionne Jr. seems to agree. Here is part of what he writes in The Washington Post:

The conventional wisdom, well-rooted in history and data, suggests the Democrats should be toast this fall. But beware, say the dissenters, because 2022 is not a normal year, and it will not play out in a normal way.

The dissenters may be onto something, even if the case for a Republican sweep is strong. . . .

The public view of the economy is gloomy — and voters expect even worse. In a comprehensive study this month, Pew Research Center found that just 13 percent of Americans rated the economy as excellent or good — and since you’re probably wondering, only 1 percent actually picked “excellent.” Opinion is also moving quickly in a negative direction. As recently as January, 28 percent rated the economy positively.

Pew also found 47 percent saying the economy would be worse a year from now. Back in March 2021, only 31 percent thought the economy would deteriorate.

If the polling seems lethal for Democrats, so does history. In midterms, voters often toss out vulnerable members of the incumbent party who swept in on earlier tides. Turnout for the party in power also typically drops off. Opposition voters tend to be more eager to cast ballots by way of sending a message of protest. . . .

After the wild presidency of Donald Trump and the radicalization of the Republican Party, there’s reason to believe 2022 does not fit neatly into the old paradigms.

Trump has not gone away. The Jan. 6 committee has brought his transgressions back to the center of discussion. One of his most important legacies is a very right-wing Supreme Court that has begun a radical demolition of long-standing conceptions of the law on abortion, guns, environmental regulation and voting rights — with more to come. . . .

If the public isn’t wild about Democrats, they like Republicans even less. That Pew survey found that 57 percent of Americans had an unfavorable view of the Democratic Party, but 61 percent had an unfavorable view of Republicans. . . .

When it comes to issues, the Pew study suggests the decisive question for 2022 is whether Democrats can push the campaign dialogue away from economic performance and toward concerns on which Republicans are at a decided disadvantage.

Yes, on economic policy, voters say they agree more with Republicans than Democrats by 40 percent to 33 percent. Still, this seven-point margin is surprisingly small, given the broader economic mood. Republicans have a five-point advantage on crime, and immigration is a wash, with the GOP holding a one-point lead.

The list of problems on which Democrats have the advantage, according to Pew, is much longer.

Voters prefer Democrats over the GOP by 20 points on both climate policy and issues affecting LGBTQ people; by 14 points on abortion and covid policy; by 13 points on health care and policies affecting race; and by four points on gun policy.

There is also this: While 37 percent of Americans have a very unfavorable view of Biden, 46 percent have a very unfavorable view of Trump. The more Trump is at the center of the conversation, the worse it is for Republicans — and there has been a lot of Trump news lately.

When it comes to the substance of the matter, you can count me as believing that until Republicans break openly and decisively with Trump, putting them in power is profoundly dangerous. But the numbers — especially when it comes to holding their slim House majority — are still daunting for Democrats.

The bottom line: An unhappy country that might otherwise punish the incumbent party really doesn’t like the alternative. That’s why the campaign ahead will matter.

Rest In Peace Lovely Lady!

 Political Cartoon is by Ed Hall at Artizans.com.

A Legend Has Left Us

 

Monday, August 01, 2022

Public Agrees With Democratic Efforts To Help Families



The charts above are from the recent Morning Consult Poll -- done on July 19th and 20th of a nationwide sample of 2,210 adults, with a 2 point margin of error.

Roasting Marshmallows (And Veterans)

Political Cartoon is by Clay Jones at claytoonz.com.
 

Is The Next Election The Most Important Ever? Absolutely!


Many people are saying the coming midterm election is the most important election this country has had. They may well be right. Here is how Joy Reid describes it at MSNBC.com:

It’s become almost routine for political parties and campaigns to declare that the next scheduled election is “the most important election of our lifetime.” But 2022 might be the year that this well-worn phrase is the truest it has ever been. 

America has had difficult and problematic presidencies — even ones that have included criminality. But we have never had a president attempt to remain in office via a coup d’etat after defeat. The House Jan. 6 commission, going well beyond what Donald Trump’s second impeachment uncovered, has revealed an extraordinary plot to corrupt the government and halt Joe Biden’s presidential victory by any means necessary — including violence. It is a plot that has touched everything from state legislatures and secretaries of state to the Justice Department, Congress and perhaps even the Secret Service.

That insurrection hasn’t ended. MAGA Republicanism seems to have only grown since the attempted insurrection, and Trump-endorsed candidates are running in and winning primaries for local, state and federal offices nationwide, in red states, purple states and even blue ones (see: Maryland’s gubernatorial race). Most alarmingly, they appear ready and willing to continue Trump’s "big lie" project, which could undermine the foundational bedrock of our democracy.

And so, the coming midterm elections could well determine whether we have free and fair elections again. The stakes are no less than that. Because if, after November, control of key states and one or both houses of Congress passes into the hands of people who fundamentally do not believe that the will of the people matters, how the American people actually vote in 2024 and beyond may also cease to matter. The security of our elections, our election workers and of our democracy itself will be severely at risk.

A Cesspool Of Crime

Political Cartoon is by Adam Zyglis in The Buffalo News.
 

Mother Jones