Thursday, June 18, 2015

Sanders Doing Well In New Hampshire - Not Nationally



A couple of days ago, I posted about a New Hampshire survey that showed Bernie Sanders is doing well in New Hampshire. That survey showed Clinton only led Sanders by about 10 points in the Granite State. Now another New Hampshire survey has been released that verifies that first poll.

It is the Suffolk University Poll -- done between June 11th and 15th of a random sample of 500 likely voters, with a 4.4 point margin of error. It also shows a 10 point difference -- with Clinton at 41% and Sanders at 31% (see top chart). No one else is close to those two. This doesn't necessarily mean Sanders will win the New Hampshire primary, but it does show he is competitive in that state -- and has a chance to win that primary.

But while Sanders is doing well in New Hampshire (and probably his home state of Vermont), the same cannot be said of his campaign nationally. The second chart above shows the results of a new national poll done by Public Policy Polling between June 11th and 14th of 471 Democratic voters, with a margin of error of 4.5 points -- and 492 Republican voters, with a margin of error of 4.4 points.

The national poll shows Hillary Clinton still holds a very large lead. Sanders has yet to cut into that lead -- even among liberals (his natural constituency). Clinton holds a 56 point lead over Sanders among all Democrats, and a 50 point lead among liberals.

The chart below shows the results of the Republican part of the PPP survey. It shows there is still no real leader -- with no candidate even able to break the 20% barrier.


No comments:

Post a Comment

ANONYMOUS COMMENTS WILL NOT BE PUBLISHED. And neither will racist,homophobic, or misogynistic comments. I do not mind if you disagree, but make your case in a decent manner.