A couple of days ago, I showed you the results of the Suffolk University / Boston Globe Poll taken after the Democratic debate. It showed Clinton leading Sanders in New Hampshire by two points (which is within the poll's margin of error). Now a new poll has been released on the race in that state.
It is the Franklin Pierce University / Boston Herald Poll -- done between October 14th and 17th of a random sample of 403 likely Democratic primary voters, and has a margin of error of 4.9 points.
This poll showed no real change in New Hampshire. Sanders had a 7 point lead over Clinton last August, and currently has an 8 point lead. The difference is well within the margin of error, so it can't be said a change has occurred at all.
Which of these polls is correct? I honestly don't know -- but I do think they show that New Hampshire is not a lock for Sanders, and is still in play. Even if Sanders wins that state, it will not be by a big enough margin to help him in the states that come later.
And as the chart below shows, many of those supporting Sanders know they are out-of-step with the rest of the nation. A whopping 64% of New Hampshire Democrats believe that Hillary Clinton will win the Democratic presidential nomination.
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