The polls had said the race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders was tight in Iowa -- and that turned out to be an understatement. They finished in a virtual dead heat, and it looks like each will claim roughly half of Iowa's Democratic delegates.
IOWA DEMOCRATIC RESULT (99% reporting)
Hillary Clinton................50%
Bernie Sanders...............50%
Martin O'Malley...............0%
Now, it's on to New Hampshire (where Sanders has a significant lead, Nevada (which could be close) and South Carolina (where Clinton has a significant lead). That will set us up for Super Tuesday, which could propel one of the candidates into a significant lead in delegates.
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The big stories of the night for the Republican race was Cruz defeating Trump, and a remarkable third place finish for Marco Rubio (only 1 point behind Trump). It looks like this could be a three-man race instead of a two-man race -- especially if Rubio can use this to climb into second place (or a very close third place) in New Hampshire.
IOWA REPUBLICAN RESULT (99% reporting)
Ted Cruz...............28%
Donald Trump...............24%
Marco Rubio...............23%
Ben Carson...............9%
Rand Paul...............5%
Jeb Bush...............3%
John Kasich...............2%
Carly Fiorina...............2%
Mike Huckabee...............2%
Chris Christie...............2%
Rick Santorum...............1%
Note that no Republican could even reach 30% support. This could be a long slog for the GOP to determine a nominee.
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NOTE -- Both the Democrats and Republicans have one less candidate after the Iowa caucuses -- as Martin O'Malley and Mike Huckabee both dropped out after doing very poorly in Iowa.
QUESTION -- Did skipping the last Republican debate hurt Trump in Iowa?
1992 iowa caucus, bill clinton received a mere 2.8% and also lost new hampshire by 9 points. in the end he received the nomination over his closest rival jerry brown 3,372 to 596. he had only won one primary out of the first 12. as far as the republican side goes, iowa picked their eventual nominee just twice in the past 40 years.
ReplyDeleteit's only the beginning folks, time to make a HUGE bowl of popcorn.
Fox News had the dems as clinton 50 percent sanders 50 percent and O'malley 1 percent...love their math.
ReplyDelete