Monday, April 11, 2016

New York Democrats Still Solidly Behind Hillary Clinton

The next primary will be in New York on April 19th. And it looks like Bernie's string of victories will hit a brick wall in that state. The chart above shows the results of the last four polls of New York Democrats, and the RealClearPolitics average of those polls. That RCP average is usually closer to the truth than any single poll. The polls agree, that Clinton has between a 10 point and 18 point lead in New York. The polls are:

Quinnipiac University Poll (March 22-29) 693 likely voters (3.7 point moe)

CBS News / YouGov Poll (March 29-April 1) 718 likely voters (5.0 point moe)

Emerson College Poll (April 6-7) 325 likely voters (5.4 point moe)

Fox News Poll (April 4-7) 801 likely voters (3.5 point moe)

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