The Labor Department has released its unemployment statistics for the month of December, and on the surface it looks to be very good news. The official unemployment rate dropped by 0.3% for the second month in a row. The rate fell from 7.0% in November to 6.7% in December -- marking the first time the rate has been below 7% since unemployment ballooned in the recession at the end of the Bush administration. The December rate of 6.7% also marks a year-long drop of 1.1% (since the rate was 7.8% in December of 2012).
That seems to paint a pretty rosy picture of unemployment in the United States, but the reality is not very rosy at all. For instance, this substantial drop in the unemployment rate is not due to a healthy and substantial job creation. Only about 74,000 new jobs were created in December ( less than the number needed to take care of new entrants to the workforce). The rate dropped because the size of the official civilian workforce dropped (from 155,284,000 in November to 154,937,000 in December -- a drop of 347,000 workers).
And that drop in the civilian workforce is reflected in the rise in those workers who are "marginally-attached" to the workforce (workers who are unemployed but no longer counted in the official statistics because they have not looked for work in the last 4 weeks). The number of the marginally-attached workers rose from 2,096,000 in November to 2, 427,000 in December. In other words, the unemployment rate dropped because more of the unemployed have given up and stopped looking for work -- not because of new jobs being created.
And that's not all of the bad news. It seems that about 55,000 of those 74,000 new jobs were in the low-wage retail sector (about 74.3% of the new jobs). This just raises the number and percentage of low-wage workers in this country -- emphasizing the need to raise the minimum wage.
Here is the official unemployment rate broken down demographically:
Adult men...............6.3%
Adult women...............6.0%
Teenagers...............20.2%
Whites...............5.9%
Blacks...............11.9%
Asians...............4.1%
Hispanics...............8.3%
Less than HS diploma...............9.8%
HS graduates...............7.1%
Some college/Associates degree...............6.1%
Bachelors degree or more...............3.3%
Here are the relevant numbers for December of 2013:
Size of the civilian workforce:
154,937,000
Official number of unemployed workers:
10,351,000
Official unemployment rate:
6.7%
Number of marginally-attached workers (no longer counted in official statistics):
2,427,000
Real number of the unemployed (Official unemployment + marginally-attached):
12,778,000
Real unemployment rate:
8.25%
Number of under-employed workers (working part-time because full-time work was unavailable):
7,771,000
Number of unemployed and under-employed workers:
20,549,000
Unemployed / under-employed rate:
13.26%
Well, the 'Krugertron' said it in that silly quote you published yesterday - "We've gone beyond bad economic doctrine". You can say that again, Krug, old chap!
ReplyDeleteI hope he keeps on saying it, because he's right. We are in an economic mess -- but it's a mess created by the Republicans, and hasn't been fixed because they insist on maintaining the same failed policies that got us into the mess.
DeleteSorry, Ted, whilst I grant you that the Bush admin was atrocious on economics your 'Sainted One' has been in power for five years. If he had spent more time on the economy instead of wasting it on fighting through his un-ACA, matters might have improved. On the other hand, knowing his ideas on economics you would all be in an even worse condition than you are! Now, in France, their president has concentrated on forcing through socialist economics - and look what it's doing to them!
DeleteThe only way you can blame President Obama for this economic mess is to willfully ignore the obstructionism of the congressional Republicans. After creating this mess, they have blocked all of the president's efforts to fix it.
DeleteAs for your obsession with the French economy, I could just as easily point to the Spanish economy, which is in much worse condition thanks to the austerity policies of conservatives.
DeleteThe very term Conservative means KEEP THINGS AS THEY ARE no matter what!!!
ReplyDeleteAnd as Ted says the republicans started it , are continuing it, and will do anything and hurt anyone to insure that Obama fails and the people learn a valued lesson...NEVER elect a black man again!!!!