Saturday, May 02, 2015

Iowa Voters Prefer Hillary Clinton In New Survey




Public Policy Polling has done a new survey in Iowa. The survey was done between April 23rd and 26th of a random sample of 1,219 Iowa voters, and has a margin of error of 2.8 points (with a 4.5 point margin of error when only Democrats or Republicans were questioned).

The results were no surprise. Hillary Clinton is still the overwhelming choice of the state's Democrats, while Scott Walker (governor of a neighboring state) has a lead among Republican hopefuls. Walker's lead is not a huge one though -- coming in at only 23% support (which means if the caucuses were held right now, he would get less than a quarter of Iowa's Republican delegates). That's certainly not a prohibitive lead (like the one Clinton has), and shows the race is still open to any candidate winning.

The survey also put the two Democrats (Clinton and Sanders) against the GOP leader (Walker). Clinton beat him by a 7 point margin. Sanders didn't do that well, trailing Walker by a 5 point margin. That's kind of scary, since swing states like Iowa will be very important in the 2016 election. The truth is that most voters don't know who the hell Bernie Sanders is, and they are not going to vote for someone they don't know. It just shows how much work is ahead for Sanders to make himself competitive -- if he can do it at all.



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