These charts reflect the results of two new national polls on the race for the Republican presidential nomination. Although their numbers are different, both agree that Donald Trump has a huge lead -- with Jeb Bush finishing in a poor second, and everybody else struggling to remain relevant (even Walker, Rubio, Paul, and Cruz -- who were all thought to be among the leaders at one time).
The CNN / ORC Poll was done between August 13th and 16th of a random national sample of 456 registered GOP voters (and leaners), and has a margin of error of 4.5 points.
The Morning Consult Poll was done between August 14th and 16th of a random national sample of 783 Republicans (and leaners), and has a margin of error of 3.5 points.
I read a really good article by Ezra Klein about how Trump really is where the Republican base is and that it highlights the fact that the Republican establishment really doesn't agree with the base. Normally, a Republican candidate needs the establishment for money and for things like access to Fox News. All of this makes me wonder if Trump really could win the nomination. I've been of the opinion for a while that Trump is the best candidate, because even if he won the general election, his conservative policies are no worse than the other Republicans, and he has some decent liberal-ish policies. Also: he probably won't win the general election.
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