Polls Show Democrats Extending Their Generic Ballot Lead

The chart above is from the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between September 11th and 14th of a nationwide sample of 1,461 registered voters, with a 3.3 point margin of error.

The charts above are from the Marquette Law School Poll -- done between September 2nd and 9th of a nationwide sample of 864 registered voters (including 581 likely voters). The margin of error is 3.6 points for registered voters and 4.3 points for likely voters.

Trump's Job Approval With Independents Just Keeps Getting Worse

 

This chart is from the YouGov Poll. It shows the job approval of Donald Trump with Independents from January of 2025 through August of 2026.

Independents Will Decide The Election - And They Don't Like Trump Or The Economy

The chart above is from the Gallup Poll. It shows that most Americans now call themselves Independents (43%), rather than Democrats (30%) or Republicans (25%). Most Polls have shown the Democrats with an enthusiasm advantage over the Republicans, but even with that there are not enough Democrats. That means the election, like most elections will be decided by the Independents.

In the 2024 election, Independents pretty closely split down the middle - allowing Trump and the Republicans to eke out a win. But if the polls are correct, that's not going to happen in 2026.

Most pundits think this will be an election on either affordability (the economy) or a referendum on Donald Trump. I think it will be a bit of both. And that's good news for Democrats. As the charts below show (from the Economist/YouGov Poll), Independents are not happy with the job Trump is doing, and they are just as unhappy with the economy.

If these numbers are anywhere close to correct (and I think they are), then Democrats should do very well in November.

Trump's Approval Has Fallen Radically - So Has The Approval Of His Appointees

 

The chart above is from the YouGov Poll - using numbers from September of 2025 and July of 2026.

Trump's Job Approval Is Underwater In Every Poll

 The chart above is from RealClearPolling.com. Every July poll shows Trump to be underwater. The RCP average of all polls has him at 39.7% approval and 58.1% disapproval.

Trump's Current Net Job Approval Is Negative 18

 

These charts are from Economist / YouGov Polls done between January 26th and April 27th. Each poll would have a margin of error of about 3 points.

Trump's Job Approval Continues To Drop

The chart above reflects the results of the University of Massachusetts Amherst Poll -- done between March 20th and 25th of a nationwide sample of 1,000 adults, with a 3.5 point margin of error.

The chart above reflects the results of the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between March 27th and 30th of a nationwide sample of 1,679 adults, with a 3.2 point margin of error.

Average Of Polls Shows Most Americans Oppose Trump's War With Iran

 From the Silver Bulletin.

Polls Continue To Shows The Public Is Unhappy With Trump's War On Iran

The chart above is from the Strength in Numbers Poll -- done between March 16th and 18th of a nationwide sample of 1,530 adults (moe unknown). 

The chart above is from the Reuters / Ipsos Poll -- done between March 17th and 19th of a nationwide sample of 1,545 adults, with a 3 point margin of error.

The four charts above are from the Change Research Poll -- done between March 8th and 12th of a nationwide sample of 1,541 registered voters, with a 2.6 point margin of error.

Trump Is Waging A War That Most Americans Don't Support

The chart above is from the CNN / SSRS Poll -- done on February 28th and March 1st of a nationwide sample of 1,004 adults, with a 3.9 point margin of error.

The chart above reflects the results of the YouGov Poll -- done on March 3rd of a nationwide sample of 1,633 U.S. adults.

Trump Attacked Iran Without Support From Most Americans

 

The charts above are from the Reuters / Ipsos Poll -- done on February 28th and March 1st of a nationwide sample of 1,282 adults, with a 3 point margin of error.

The charts above are from the Morning Consult Poll -- done on February 28th of a nationwide sample of 1,618 registered voters, with a 2 point margin of error.

Voters Give Trump Low Marks On His Job And The Issues

The chart above reflects the results of the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between February 6th and 9th of a nationwide sample of 1,551 registered voters, with a 3 point margin of error.

 

Average Of Generic Ballot Polls Gives Democrats A Solid Lead

From natesilver.net. 

Voters Disapprove Of Job Trump Is Doing In Two New Polls

 This chart reflects the results of the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between October 31st and November 3rd of a nationwide sample of 1,475 registered voters with a 3.1 point margin of error.

The chart above reflects the results of the Emerson College Poll -- done on November 3rd and 4th of a nationwide sample of 1,000 registered voters with a 3 point margin of error.

Trump Says His Poll Numbers Are Great - That's A LIE!

 

The charts above are from natesilver.net. The are an average of recent polls compiled by poll analyst Nate Silver.

Trump/GOP Would Get More Blame For Government Shutdown Than Democrats

The chart above is from the Data for Progress Poll -- done between September 5th and 7th of a nationwide sample of 1,226 likely voters, with a 3 point margin of error.

The chart above is from the Navigator Poll -- done between September 4th and 8th of a nationwide sample of 1,000 registered voters, with a 3.1 point margin of error.

Texans And Americans Oppose The GOP Redistricting Of Texas

The chart above reflects the results of the Z To A Research Poll -- done between August 3rd and 5th of 1,921 likely midterm voters in Texas. The poll has a 2.24 point margin of error.

The chart above is from the YouGov Poll -- done between August 8th and 11th of a nationwide sample of 1,122 adults, with a 4 point margin of error.

Voters Don't Like How Trump Administration Is Handling The Epstein Files

The chart above reflects the results of the Quinnipiac University Poll -- done between July 10th and 14th of a nationwide sample of 1,290 registered voters, with a 2.7 point margin of error.

The chart above reflects the results of the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between July 11th and 14th of a nationwide sample of 1,506 registered voters, with a 3.1 point margin of error.

Two More Polls Show Trump Approval Dropping Like a Rock

The chart above reflects the results of the CNN / SSRS Poll -- done between April 17th and 24th of a nationwide sample of 1,678 adults, with a 2.9 point margin of error. 

The chart above is from the New York Times / Siena College Poll -- done between April 21st and 24th of a nationwide sample of 913 registered voters, with a 3.8 point margin of error.

Three New Polls Show Trump Approval Has Dropped Significantly

The chart above reflects the results of the Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between April 19th and 22nd of a nationwide sample of 1,625 adults (including 1.445 registered voters). The margin of error was 3.3 points for both groups.

The chart above reflects the results of the Fox News Poll -- done between April 18th and 21st of a nationwide sample of 1,104 registered voters, with a 3 point margin of error.

The chart above is from the Pew Research Center survey -- done between April 7th and 13th of a nationwide sample of 3,589 adults, with a 1.8 point margin of error.