Thursday, October 29, 2015
North & South Carolina Presidential Polls For Both Parties
Two new state polls have been released on the presidential race.
The first is the Public Policy Polling survey -- done between October 23rd and 25th of a random sample of North Carolina voters -- 425 Republican voters and 421 Democratic voters. The margin of error for both parties was 4.8 points.
The second is the Clemson University Palmetto Poll -- done between October 13th and 23rd of 600 South Carolina voters in each party, and has a margin of error of 4 points.
Both of these Southern states have Hillary Clinton with a substantial lead over Bernie Sanders (her closest opponent -- 37 points in North Carolina and and an equal 37 points in South Carolina. South Carolina does show a substantial percentage of voters that are currently unsure, but that doesn't denigrate Clinton's huge lead. She would only need another 8 points to reach a clear majority, while Sanders would need an additional 45 points. Clinton already has a 61% majority in North Carolina.
Both states also give Donald Trump a lead, although far from a majority. He leads Ben Carson by 8 points in North Carolina and by 4 points in South Carolina. The only other candidate to reach double-digit support in North Carolina was Marco Rubio at 11% (20 points behind Trump). No other candidate reached double-digits in South Carolina.
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I get why Republicans like Trump. I don't get the appeal of Carson. I've written in the past that his appeal is due to him being a black man who tells white people that they deserve everything they have and that poor blacks are the moochers middle class whites always thought. But I doubt that's good for a quarter of the vote. But maybe not.
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