Thursday, March 21, 2019

Biden Still Has Significant Lead Among Dems And Leaners


The chart above reflects the results of the latest CNN / SSRS Poll -- done between March 14th and 17th of a national sample of 456 Democrats and Democrat-leaning Independents, and has a margin of error of 5.7 points.

Joe Biden hasn't officially entered the Democratic race for the presidential nomination, but he maintains a significant lead over the other candidates. I think this is because he is seen as the most likely candidate to beat Trump in the general election. Four other candidates also have significant support -- Bernie Sanders, Kamala Harris, Beto O'Rourke, and Elizabeth Warren.

None of the other candidates reach the 5% mark.

The chart below is the latest Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between March 17th and 19th of 1,287 registered voters, with a 2.8 point margin of error.

They asked a different question -- Do you have a favorable opinion of the Democratic candidates? Only six candidates had a majority of Democrats with a favorable opinion of them -- Biden, Sanders, Warren, Harris, O'Rourke, and Booker. No one else did better than 39%. And only one candidate had a majority of registered voters viewing him favorably -- Joe Biden.

There is still plenty of time for candidates to improve these numbers.


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